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  • Legislative Costing Note ‣ Accelerated capital cost allowance and immediate expensing measures
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PBO projects that annual growth in IFHP costs will average well below the average growth observed over the past five years, reflecting both a moderated increase in the number of beneficiaries and a more gradual rise in average annual costs.","fr":"Le DPB estime que les co\u00fbts totaux du PFSI atteindront presque 1,0 milliard de dollars en 2025\u20112026 et d\u00e9passeront 1,5 milliard de dollars d\u2019ici 2029\u20112030. Le DPB pr\u00e9voit que la croissance annuelle moyenne des d\u00e9penses du PFSI se situera bien en de\u00e7\u00e0 de la croissance moyenne observ\u00e9e au cours des cinq derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, en raison d\u2019une hausse mod\u00e9r\u00e9e du nombre de b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiaires et d\u2019une augmentation plus graduelle des co\u00fbts annuels moyens."}},{"content":{"en":"Budget 2025 indicated that a \u201cmodest co-payment model\u201d will be introduced to the Interim Federal Health Program for supplemental health products or services. This change to the program is not reflected in our projection. Including this new measure would reduce our estimate of the total cost for the IFHP program.","fr":"Le budget de 2025 pr\u00e9voit l\u2019introduction d\u2019un \u00ab mod\u00e8le de syst\u00e8me de copaiement modeste \u00bb dans le Programme f\u00e9d\u00e9ral de sant\u00e9 int\u00e9rimaire pour les produits et services de sant\u00e9 suppl\u00e9mentaires. Ce changement au programme n\u2019est pas pris en compte dans notre projection. En tenir compte r\u00e9duirait notre co\u00fbt total estimatif pour le PFSI."}}]},"updated_at":"2026-02-12T13:57:12.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2526-023-C--projecting-cost-interim-federal-health-program--prevision-cout-programme-federal-sante-interimaire","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-023-C--projecting-cost-interim-federal-health-program--prevision-cout-programme-federal-sante-interimaire","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-023-C--projecting-cost-interim-federal-health-program--prevision-cout-programme-federal-sante-interimaire"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-023-C--projecting-cost-interim-federal-health-program--prevision-cout-programme-federal-sante-interimaire","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-023-C--projecting-cost-interim-federal-health-program--prevision-cout-programme-federal-sante-interimaire"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/31783854f16938bf248bd247ee13cc2e4268b33e4b82466a1eadbb97a89964cb"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/dd5f65d2eb0ec9735cc026820e18d1a696ba3bc3c9426cb612b38015d8063bbb"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/729677ac5a2abd23e4b63bce4106932ac378a57079525eca7cf679a08388fc07","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8e02ef5b35a8487251bb690e968c27b7618f87448ce114b403ded1c48fa50739","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8215aba239d6aff12fb0020a3419b1811d2470a9facaedc6250d9ca25a68ef74","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cc6d2936cba302664878b64fda43a41e15981394443e7c0d8776edbf205c59db","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a11e069804c970edcf1ade6b723475a161b99be0b7afa05c49ff7fef7f050a89","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8ba6bfba5d570b6058218bca150b42f6b8104df032d13fb4f731b11d6b011443","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/23135c5fab73cf49b3046680d72b4233d2745e51aa8428c52baab3598ea3a7be","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/225f097e63444faadadc87d639743d67cf5ae32b2007f4a1a0f90de34c7c354e"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/0838b28a3dcd75dac76de9d9454f41738ef4d45caadbfa516cde00eafc5ed602","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a6ab17946fa3c6cda9bd41d816f5a776e542453efb1d6382e7f5063bcec95192","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e9983d32dac06252d70d901f12e780a7b91c09ffd9ce0f9a04c44236cd040d83","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/95ac2381ee428cee60ec2d80de134aa910b7df1645886bfa2c220e03e9a3ddaf","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/812528412d0cd626581a7f264801cd07266752642750afb62ae9d374bc8358d1","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/87b25d2851ccebf6c0f9db590a894c46f2057ad0283f75d5626b7522c88fa276","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/fc7259b44f29279915acb05bf949cba1c8b44ac422f42998641799aabe18c58f","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/554b9f01c089229029ead007de371a634959190994d0ca96a403e9966016ab9f"}}},"bills":[],"hubs":[],"labels":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2526023C,\n author={Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason},\n title={Projecting the Cost of the Interim Federal Health Program},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2026,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2526023C,\n author={Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason},\n title={Pr\\\u0027{e}vision du cout du Programme f\\\u0027{e}d\\\u0027{e}ral de sant\\\u0027{e} int\\\u0027{e}rimaire},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2026,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}}},{"type":"Publication","date":"2026-02-12T14:00:00.000000Z","payload":{"id":"LEG-2526-011-S","is_published":"2026-02-12T13:57:19.000000Z","release_date":"2026-02-12T14:00:00.000000Z","last_revised_date":null,"title_en":"Enhancing the Scientific Research and Experimental Development Tax Incentives","title_fr":"Bonifier les encouragements fiscaux pour la recherche scientifique et le d\u00e9veloppement exp\u00e9rimental","internal_id":"LEG-2526-011-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"Budget 2025 proposes to increase the annual expenditure limit on which the Scientific Research and Experimental Design program\u2019s enhanced credit can be earned from $4.5 million to $6 million, effective December 16, 2024.","abstract_fr":"Le budget de 2025 propose de rehausser le plafond des d\u00e9penses annuelles admissibles au cr\u00e9dit bonifi\u00e9 du programme de recherche scientifique et de d\u00e9veloppement exp\u00e9rimental, afin de le faire passer de 4,5 millions de dollars \u00e0 6 millions de dollars, \u00e0 compter du 16 d\u00e9cembre 2024.","highlights":[]},"updated_at":"2026-02-12T13:57:19.000000Z","type":"LEG","slug":"LEG-2526-011-S--enhancing-scientific-research-experimental-development-tax-incentives--bonifier-encouragements-fiscaux-recherche-scientifique-developpement-experimental","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/LEG-2526-011-S--enhancing-scientific-research-experimental-development-tax-incentives--bonifier-encouragements-fiscaux-recherche-scientifique-developpement-experimental","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/LEG-2526-011-S--enhancing-scientific-research-experimental-development-tax-incentives--bonifier-encouragements-fiscaux-recherche-scientifique-developpement-experimental"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/LEG-2526-011-S--enhancing-scientific-research-experimental-development-tax-incentives--bonifier-encouragements-fiscaux-recherche-scientifique-developpement-experimental","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/LEG-2526-011-S--enhancing-scientific-research-experimental-development-tax-incentives--bonifier-encouragements-fiscaux-recherche-scientifique-developpement-experimental"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/6dab45f3634a14c168d51d5d67654aa7137829b89f1e7544260255545a20f454"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/bf2d14149dcfde87ae26669c74094aa2a0b3efd367fd181a216c1473583ef012"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e68779f4c5dc56e21bf8c41cca57d3533ed785e1815765fe791a6d4bcc26fe67","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/04b4a3aa40e87a6208e9fd92bbbaafcc6acf0f8155e86804bef5989a51011856","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2cbf53e09939826269598c02e9582b05c2ab6f2656427cdcc62e51cf40898c3e","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/28c8a105902f906682ab8ebceab50f0cab27e806079d98723e9a73f7fb3d9b65","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c2fc66cb9d6caf9a526bdafa4e464969a8a92e67dee5d7cfdbf32077ffb65df0","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d3d36132a0a6072eded39cfab200009c8b8c22c73e5c5b39dca1e46fe405d778","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3c26fae51a65bf7476ca8470ea96dab0a27cb9bc8f1183a01d82930c696b6796","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/efc0a19fda49710f3b297aa4ca6ecc2efe2ad0b87154011c9272f156f8ff6534"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a1f849beb9b99ed0742519ea77952bd6bbc7ce61881043db64d8f4a6df47a35d","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5c9c71a77c9c13d95f99546921cd15687c62b019512880eb2af4a111eb2191d3","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/6200645f02a54433089b7805fd12d0859f0527abc8f38a9af1c32bb6a82f0e2f","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/1d985bdc2a5a85335db17889d78191eaf43a4cf7bfddfc9b263f0e54a1966ffc","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/6dba2ce29bce3894d61988f74b7255f9a4171df6a90e5dd654825e96d19c41b9","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cc930778b50a8cac7c60c0769a41ac54fb748d1ca0dd6ac221a973498ef6ccf5","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f5101c77d3a481b45bae25936efa236e74f353fef8a25af30206b09187566eb7","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/972be473f87d9131317d82e04cf89a5eedda22e681707b056fab2d34ba161dbb"}}},"bills":[],"hubs":[],"labels":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-LEG2526011S,\n author={Scholz, Tim},\n title={Enhancing the Scientific Research and Experimental Development Tax Incentives},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2026,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-LEG2526011S,\n author={Scholz, Tim},\n title={Bonifier les encouragements fiscaux pour la recherche scientifique et le d\\\u0027{e}veloppement exp\\\u0027{e}rimental},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2026,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}}},{"type":"Blog","date":"2026-02-06T14:00:00.000000Z","payload":{"id":"BLOG-2526-017","is_published":"2026-02-06T13:57:07.000000Z","release_date":"2026-02-06T14:00:00.000000Z","last_revised_date":null,"title_en":"OPBO Publishes New Communication Framework","title_fr":"Le BDPB publie son nouveau cadre de communication","internal_id":"BLOG-2526-017","updated_at":"2026-02-06T13:57:07.000000Z","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/additional-analyses--analyses-complementaires\/BLOG-2526-017--opbo-publishes-new-communication-framework--bdpb-publie-son-nouveau-cadre-communication","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/additional-analyses--analyses-complementaires\/BLOG-2526-017--opbo-publishes-new-communication-framework--bdpb-publie-son-nouveau-cadre-communication"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/additional-analyses--analyses-complementaires\/BLOG-2526-017--opbo-publishes-new-communication-framework--bdpb-publie-son-nouveau-cadre-communication","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/additional-analyses--analyses-complementaires\/BLOG-2526-017--opbo-publishes-new-communication-framework--bdpb-publie-son-nouveau-cadre-communication"}},"slug":"BLOG-2526-017--opbo-publishes-new-communication-framework--bdpb-publie-son-nouveau-cadre-communication","abstract_en":"The framework formalizes the Office\u0027s commitment to clear, consistent, and transparent communications with parliamentarians, the media, and the public.","abstract_fr":"Le cadre formalise l\u0027engagement du Bureau envers des communications claires, coh\u00e9rentes et transparentes avec les parlementaires, les m\u00e9dias et le public.","hubs":[]}},{"type":"Publication","date":"2026-02-05T14:00:00.000000Z","payload":{"id":"RP-2526-022-S","is_published":"2026-02-05T13:57:11.000000Z","release_date":"2026-02-05T14:00:00.000000Z","last_revised_date":null,"title_en":"Fiscal Implications of Meeting NATO\u2019s 5% Commitment","title_fr":"R\u00e9percussions financi\u00e8res de l\u2019atteinte de la cible de 5 % de l\u2019OTAN","internal_id":"RP-2526-022-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report examines the fiscal implications of Canada\u2019s commitment to meet the North Atlantic Treaty Organization defence spending pledge of 5 per cent of gross domestic product by 2035.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport examine les r\u00e9percussions financi\u00e8res de l\u2019engagement que le Canada a pris envers l\u2019Organisation du Trait\u00e9 de l\u2019Atlantique Nord d\u2019investir 5 % de son produit int\u00e9rieur brut dans le secteur de la d\u00e9fense d\u2019ici 2035.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"Despite indicating in Budget 2025 that accelerating investments will \u201cput Canada on a pathway\u201d to meet the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) 5 per cent commitment by 2035, the Government has not published supporting projection details.","fr":"Dans le Budget 2025, on indique que le Canada acc\u00e9l\u00e8re ses investissements pour qu\u2019il \u00ab soit en bonne voie \u00bb d\u2019atteindre la cible fix\u00e9e par l\u2019Organisation du Trait\u00e9 de l\u2019Atlantique Nord (OTAN), c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire d\u2019investir 5 % de son produit int\u00e9rieur brut (PIB) d\u2019ici 2035. Le gouvernement n\u2019a cependant pas publi\u00e9 les d\u00e9tails de ses projections."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO estimates that meeting the NATO 5 per cent commitment by gradually increasing core defence spending from 2.0 per cent in 2025 to 3.5 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) by 2035 will require additional defence spending averaging approximately $33.5 billion per year in cash expenditures over the next 10 years.","fr":"Le DPB estime que pour atteindre la cible de 5 % fix\u00e9e par l\u2019OTAN en augmentant progressivement les d\u00e9penses de d\u00e9fense de base de 2,0 % en 2025 \u00e0 3,5 % du PIB d\u2019ici 2035, il faudra consacrer en moyenne pr\u00e8s de 33,5 milliards de dollars par ann\u00e9e en d\u00e9penses au cours des dix prochaines ann\u00e9es."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO estimates that the additional core defence spending required to meet the NATO 5 per cent commitment will increase the budgetary deficit by $63.0 billion (1.4 percentage points of GDP) in 2035-36 and the federal debt-to-GDP ratio by 6.3 percentage points of GDP in 2035-36.","fr":"Le DPB estime que les d\u00e9penses suppl\u00e9mentaires en mati\u00e8re de d\u00e9fense de base n\u00e9cessaires pour respecter l\u2019engagement de 5 % envers l\u2019OTAN augmenteront le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire de 63,0 milliards de dollars (1,4 point de pourcentage du PIB) en 2035-2036 et le ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale au PIB de 6,3 points de pourcentage du PIB en 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C-15","internal_id":"BLOG-2526-009","updated_at":"2025-12-15T15:57:07.000000Z","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/additional-analyses--analyses-complementaires\/BLOG-2526-009--proposed-changes-borrowing-authority-act-in-bill-c-15--changements-proposes-loi-autorisant-certains-emprunts-dans-projet-loi-c-15","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/additional-analyses--analyses-complementaires\/BLOG-2526-009--proposed-changes-borrowing-authority-act-in-bill-c-15--changements-proposes-loi-autorisant-certains-emprunts-dans-projet-loi-c-15"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/additional-analyses--analyses-complementaires\/BLOG-2526-009--proposed-changes-borrowing-authority-act-in-bill-c-15--changements-proposes-loi-autorisant-certains-emprunts-dans-projet-loi-c-15","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/additional-analyses--analyses-complementaires\/BLOG-2526-009--proposed-changes-borrowing-authority-act-in-bill-c-15--changements-proposes-loi-autorisant-certains-emprunts-dans-projet-loi-c-15"}},"slug":"BLOG-2526-009--proposed-changes-borrowing-authority-act-in-bill-c-15--changements-proposes-loi-autorisant-certains-emprunts-dans-projet-loi-c-15","abstract_en":"This 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pr\\\u0027{e}pos\\\u0027{e}s aux services de soutien \\`{a} la personne},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2025,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}}},{"type":"Publication","date":"2025-11-26T14:00:00.000000Z","payload":{"id":"RP-2526-021-S","is_published":"2025-11-26T13:57:08.000000Z","release_date":"2025-11-26T14:00:00.000000Z","last_revised_date":null,"title_en":"Estimating Canada\u2019s 2030 Emissions Gap","title_fr":"Estimation de l\u2019\u00e9cart avec la cible d\u2019\u00e9missions du Canada pour 2030","internal_id":"RP-2526-021-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides estimates of the gap between Canada\u2019s projected greenhouse gas emissions in 2030 and the Government\u2019s legislated target under the Canadian Net-Zero Emissions Accountability Act.","abstract_fr":"Le rapport pr\u00e9sente des estimations de l\u2019\u00e9cart entre les \u00e9missions de gaz \u00e0 effet de serre du Canada projet\u00e9es en 2030 et la cible du gouvernement pr\u00e9vue par la Loi canadienne sur la responsabilit\u00e9 en mati\u00e8re de carboneutralit\u00e9.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"Under PBO\u2019s updated projection that accounts for federal policy revisions earlier this year, we estimate Canada\u2019s 2030 emissions gap could range from 49 megatonnes (Mt) to 102 Mt. That is, projected emissions in 2030 could be 49 Mt to 102 Mt above the legislated target of 40-45 per cent below 2005 levels. This would leave Canada\u2019s emissions in 2030 at 33.5 per cent and 31.5 per cent, respectively, below 2005 levels.","fr":"Selon la projection mise \u00e0 jour du DPB qui tient compte des r\u00e9visions apport\u00e9es aux politiques f\u00e9d\u00e9rales plus t\u00f4t cette ann\u00e9e, nous estimons que l\u2019\u00e9cart avec la cible d\u2019\u00e9missions du Canada pour 2030 pourrait se situer entre 49 m\u00e9gatonnes (Mt) et 102 Mt. Autrement dit, les \u00e9missions projet\u00e9es pour 2030 pourraient \u00eatre de 49 Mt \u00e0 102 Mt sup\u00e9rieures \u00e0 la cible pr\u00e9vue par la loi de 40 % \u00e0 45 % sous les niveaux de 2005. Ainsi, les \u00e9missions du Canada en 2030 se situeraient respectivement \u00e0 33,5 % et \u00e0 31,5 % sous les niveaux de 2005."}},{"content":{"en":"While the legislated 2030 target puts the focus on emissions in a milestone year, it is also informative to consider the shortfall in performance over time. Based on the Government\u2019s Pathway to 2030 (40 per cent below 2005 levels), our updated projections indicate that cumulative emissions over 2025 to 2030 could exceed Pathway levels by between 221 Mt (6.7 per cent) and 289 Mt (8.8 per cent).","fr":"La cible de 2030 pr\u00e9vue par la loi est ax\u00e9e sur les \u00e9missions dans une ann\u00e9e jalon; cependant, le d\u00e9ficit de performance au fil du temps m\u00e9rite aussi d\u2019\u00eatre pris en consid\u00e9ration. Selon la Trajectoire vers 2030 du gouvernement (40 % sous les niveaux de 2005), nos projections mises \u00e0 jour indiquent que les \u00e9missions cumulatives de 2025 \u00e0 2030 pourraient d\u00e9passer les niveaux de la trajectoire de 221 Mt (6,7 %) \u00e0 289 Mt (8,8 %)."}},{"content":{"en":"Given the construction of our updated projection, PBO estimates of Canada\u2019s 2030 emissions gap should be seen as approximate. Our analysis does not attempt to account for potential interactions between the policy revisions, nor does it consider any policy revisions made by provincial and territorial governments earlier this year. That said, our estimate of the 2030 emissions gap is, on balance, lower than recent external estimates.","fr":"Compte tenu de la fa\u00e7on dont notre projection mise \u00e0 jour a \u00e9t\u00e9 cr\u00e9\u00e9e, les estimations de l\u2019\u00e9cart avec la cible d\u2019\u00e9missions du Canada pour 2030 du DPB doivent \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9es comme approximatives. Notre analyse ne tient pas compte des interactions possibles entre les r\u00e9visions apport\u00e9es aux politiques, ni des r\u00e9visions apport\u00e9es \u00e0 la politique par les gouvernements provinciaux et territoriaux plus t\u00f4t cette ann\u00e9e. Cela dit, notre estimation de l\u2019\u00e9cart avec la cible d\u2019\u00e9missions pour 2030 est, dans l\u2019ensemble, inf\u00e9rieure aux estimations externes r\u00e9centes."}}]},"updated_at":"2025-11-26T13:57:08.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2526-021-S--estimating-canada-2030-emissions-gap--estimation-ecart-cible-emissions-canada-2030","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-021-S--estimating-canada-2030-emissions-gap--estimation-ecart-cible-emissions-canada-2030","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-021-S--estimating-canada-2030-emissions-gap--estimation-ecart-cible-emissions-canada-2030"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-021-S--estimating-canada-2030-emissions-gap--estimation-ecart-cible-emissions-canada-2030","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-021-S--estimating-canada-2030-emissions-gap--estimation-ecart-cible-emissions-canada-2030"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/047b12eceac2b265879ac61f9adf9ec965944db6ef53ddc16207abc7f32da5c0"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/646732bb57ea4f2c83344021339dfa7438e76681d9d4be8266e40277a9e9b515"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f7fbe252d00c055df78a88b8dad1fc6ded6f0d0baf171ce1c6e1a3147391cb27","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f0ec1a99dcd7f562ce535433a6255deefe146f5575fc695b9614e184786deb4c","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/aef60cff868dbba88aca15e01367ff14266d8f00dfdbc860b838f43a55403aea","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/94aef3588e61454a2e9f993dd120bb729537f0052f14aba7a403054727e6ab9c","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e57634cf0ef3b3f7d0edc6930e11ce1a2f1f63455455793fa00d27ebeb6ab83c","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4c7ae24263d1dee6a711c563289d6b52381cf0c563977d4708a5606e07dd347b","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/26c29ed3fe9462a884accb0604b34024feddc337fb078d2225bc0664e163fa07","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/86e81135cfa417729588e6d475874cf1f1150bddfb5ff86c37fc00c3d9cfa850"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cfb81ebffda0b351da1d49a83b87bfbe298277ef36ea6b2fdc6c90b21326459f","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/95c6fb2b44a0a5797e906dcc70bf6b9cf8894cca872e2770aaa4ec63340dc8bb","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c365f8443edc4e1f30702da38639a2e605f53c1ee38a63e09843dd23d4cb8bfa","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/494411babe03c359acbda7329f0435390e2b43ff284096f5af49eb6ef3761a65","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e1cf393b900bade8548b9af57b2fb6b9cffa49e41691c243aae7928eb5265e3e","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/bc2933f9746710bc6b680a4cb1b0b552a6baa8ce15090cc7a9dc645e5883559d","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/35786bcde6cc372d719cb3604f9694cda8eeeb65066fe9966645e8e65d81eb35","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/9f2db00cb00a6a05c3492536d13aa23c6e9ca27978b504ed0db5d2412c532e8a"}}},"bills":[],"hubs":[{"id":1,"created_at":"2023-05-09T21:49:14.000000Z","updated_at":"2025-12-02T14:01:35.000000Z","slug":"climate-plans-and-targets--plans-et-cibles-climatiques","name_en":"Climate Plans and Targets","name_fr":"Plans et cibles climatiques","subtitle_en":null,"subtitle_fr":null,"description_en":"The PBO provides independent analysis of the Government of Canada\u2019s climate plans and greenhouse gas emissions targets, as well as analysis of the impacts of climate change. The Climate Plans and Targets Hub brings together the PBO\u2019s work on these issues.","description_fr":"Le DPB fournit de mani\u00e8re ind\u00e9pendante des analyses sur les plans climatiques et les cibles de r\u00e9duction des gaz \u00e0 effet de serre du gouvernement du Canada, ainsi que des analyses sur les impacts des changements climatiques. Le carrefour Plans et cibles climatiques regroupe les travaux du DPB sur ces questions.","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"\/en\/hubs--carrefours\/climate-plans-and-targets--plans-et-cibles-climatiques"},"fr":{"website":"\/fr\/hubs--carrefours\/climate-plans-and-targets--plans-et-cibles-climatiques"}},"pivot":{"hubbable_type":"App\\Publication","hubbable_id":873,"hub_id":1}}],"labels":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2526021S,\n author={Ammar, Nasreddine},\n title={Estimating Canada\u2019s 2030 Emissions Gap},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2025,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2526021S,\n author={Ammar, Nasreddine},\n title={Estimation de l\u2019\\\u0027{e}cart avec la cible d\u2019\\\u0027{e}missions du Canada pour 2030},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2025,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}}},{"type":"Publication","date":"2025-11-25T14:00:00.000000Z","payload":{"id":"RP-2526-019-C","is_published":"2025-11-25T13:57:08.000000Z","release_date":"2025-11-25T14:00:00.000000Z","last_revised_date":null,"title_en":"Overview of First Nations and Inuit police funding and spending","title_fr":"Aper\u00e7u du financement et des d\u00e9penses des services de police des Premi\u00e8res Nations et des Inuits","internal_id":"RP-2526-019-C","metadata":{"abstract_en":"In response to a request by the Standing Committee on Indigenous and Northern Affairs, this report presents an overview of First Nations and Inuit police funding and spending.","abstract_fr":"En r\u00e9ponse \u00e0 une demande du Comit\u00e9 permanent des affaires autochtones et du Nord, le pr\u00e9sent rapport fournit un aper\u00e7u du financement et des d\u00e9penses des services de police des Premi\u00e8res Nations et des Inuits.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"Over 2015-16 to 2024-25, planned federal funding for First Nations and Inuit policing through the First Nations and Inuit Policing Program (FNIPP) and the First Nations and Inuit Policing Facilities Program (FNIPFP) increased from $123 million to $395 million, representing an average annual growth rate of 12.3 per cent.","fr":"Entre 2015-2016 et 2024-2025, le financement f\u00e9d\u00e9ral pr\u00e9vu dans le cadre du Programme des services de police des Premi\u00e8res Nations et des Inuits (PSPPNI) et du Programme des installations de services de police des Premi\u00e8res Nations et des Inuits (PISPPNI) est pass\u00e9 de 123 millions de dollars \u00e0 395 millions de dollars, ce qui repr\u00e9sente un taux de croissance annuel moyen de 12,3 %."}},{"content":{"en":"Since 2021-22, program funds have not been fully spent as provincial-territorial partners faced challenges in providing their required cost-share funding to implement expanded federal funding commitments announced in Budget 2021, in part because of a misalignment of funding cycles.","fr":"Depuis 2021-2022, les fonds du programme n\u2019ont pas \u00e9t\u00e9 pleinement utilis\u00e9s en raison des difficult\u00e9s rencontr\u00e9es par les partenaires provinciaux et territoriaux pour fournir leur part du financement n\u00e9cessaire \u00e0 la mise en \u0153uvre des engagements de financement f\u00e9d\u00e9ral \u00e9largis annonc\u00e9s dans le budget de 2021. Ces difficult\u00e9s \u00e9taient en partie caus\u00e9es par une mauvaise harmonisation des cycles de financement."}},{"content":{"en":"Most stakeholders believe self-administered First Nations and Inuit police services are underfunded, and there is a need for federal legislation that recognizes First Nations policing as an essential service. While the federal government previously committed to table such legislation, the Minister of Public Safety wants to secure funding prior to its introduction. The cost of funding resulting from such federal legislation is currently not known.","fr":"La plupart des intervenants sont d\u2019avis que les services de police autog\u00e9r\u00e9s des Premi\u00e8res Nations et des Inuits souffrent d\u2019un sous-financement et estiment qu\u2019il faut \u00e9laborer une loi f\u00e9d\u00e9rale qui reconnait les services de police des Premi\u00e8res Nations comme un service essentiel. Le gouvernement f\u00e9d\u00e9ral s\u2019\u00e9tait engag\u00e9 \u00e0 d\u00e9poser une telle loi, mais le ministre de la S\u00e9curit\u00e9 publique souhaite obtenir un financement avant de la pr\u00e9senter. Les co\u00fbts de financement qui d\u00e9couleraient d\u2019une telle loi ne sont pr\u00e9sentement pas connus."}},{"content":{"en":"Following the Nishnawbe Aski Police Service opting into the *Community Safety and Policing Act* of Ontario, the estimated resources required to provide the reevaluated service levels have doubled (from about 260 officers to a plan of 500 officers). To cover 52 per cent of the cost of this planned increase would require more funding than what is currently available in the FNIPP envelope. If all First Nations and Inuit police services were to be considered essential services, even if they would not all need a doubling of resources, the FNIPP would still require significant additional funding.","fr":"\u00c0 la suite de l\u2019adh\u00e9sion du Service de police Nishnawbe Aski \u00e0 la *Loi sur la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 communautaire et les services policiers* de l\u2019Ontario, les ressources jug\u00e9es n\u00e9cessaires pour fournir les niveaux de service ad\u00e9quats ont doubl\u00e9 (passant d\u2019environ 260 policiers \u00e0 un objectif de 500 policiers). Pour couvrir 52 % du co\u00fbt de cette augmentation pr\u00e9vue, il faudrait davantage de financement que celui actuellement disponible dans l\u2019enveloppe du PSPPNI. Si tous les services de police des Premi\u00e8res Nations et des Inuits \u00e9taient consid\u00e9r\u00e9s comme des services essentiels, le PSPPNI aurait n\u00e9anmoins besoin d\u2019un financement suppl\u00e9mentaire significatif, m\u00eame si tous n\u2019auraient pas n\u00e9cessairement besoin du double des ressources."}}]},"updated_at":"2025-11-25T13:57:08.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2526-019-C--overview-first-nations-inuit-police-funding-spending--apercu-financement-depenses-services-police-premieres-nations-inuits","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-019-C--overview-first-nations-inuit-police-funding-spending--apercu-financement-depenses-services-police-premieres-nations-inuits","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-019-C--overview-first-nations-inuit-police-funding-spending--apercu-financement-depenses-services-police-premieres-nations-inuits"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-019-C--overview-first-nations-inuit-police-funding-spending--apercu-financement-depenses-services-police-premieres-nations-inuits","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-019-C--overview-first-nations-inuit-police-funding-spending--apercu-financement-depenses-services-police-premieres-nations-inuits"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/2ff8e25bbbf09eb7ea8940b76a0f992807d689044bd3b1145a9c6e9ab2d8483b"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/0dfdc0127425750a0896336877cfb4cc498881beff11074e663b5748b200d8b0"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c01917ae8a19abf56861e5400a6c2624d614f10509f2f535c760b84d70eccdaf","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4a9d6f3b2e31ad0a5759c9bab6a8b174b205b3ebc65bdf2dac5fe9333d590ee5","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4aba3d85c80c42c37ad12043fb47adad0c089b581af1bdaff26f4c4fe5db543f","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/40214cbc91c19cd253ee7825ad2ac33ab1c391ad26adf51377452bf45df0e0c7","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/55d74984aeb035281862d50aa910cd3dd7aaf1fce3df0b0efd5d81cc929f1b16","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/dc0433e2769c99cfd7bfebd51ee6b2a29efa5d10efd7bab472351911eddcc579","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/dccdd6e88248f2700ee822ef33aa4a2939b082fee4bc8f3b4560d3869f79a18c","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/16c395cdb16416c677817491f3c193d7467d8d64502ac72a5a7504e211a1a014"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/7b6d859d4c9d077778b0ceb3421e287ceb60128842ba59b654405fbbb8c097b8","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5980a8d99927aa2baa92b2cb4a932d9d028b119deed35c88c565905dadc99593","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8fc80cef53770f18691ba2007f50fe595aebee5c15c5aeae571759addb930878","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e198ad6e0674802b647a1275f9efbcecaed5534993f322acb6fdf6bcf0f0f013","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/371800624806e8b1d02e388fb8e1c696686bc911fc4cbe2621ea8bfe6ebb995d","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/898fd57359d68397d9d7cb5b2696162a77fd2be4c249b7d726f8261d7a8bbc5f","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ddfbc3fed21a262aee52a0ea8f853205623dd5ccbaee3bb3a6119b3475bfc850","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/6162b44da4b26c3e208112f80f31229117e933180b7aa908e6828bced3699a87"}}},"bills":[],"hubs":[],"labels":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2526019C,\n author={Behrend, Robert},\n title={Overview of First Nations and Inuit police funding and spending},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2025,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2526019C,\n author={Behrend, Robert},\n title={Aper\\c{c}u du financement et des d\\\u0027{e}penses des services de police des Premi\\`{e}res Nations et des Inuits},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2025,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}}},{"type":"Blog","date":"2025-11-19T16:00:00.000000Z","payload":{"id":"BLOG-2526-008","is_published":"2025-11-19T15:57:02.000000Z","release_date":"2025-11-19T16:00:00.000000Z","last_revised_date":null,"title_en":"House Price Assessment: Additional Analysis","title_fr":"\u00c9valuation du prix des propri\u00e9t\u00e9s : Analyse compl\u00e9mentaire","internal_id":"BLOG-2526-008","updated_at":"2025-11-19T15:57:02.000000Z","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/additional-analyses--analyses-complementaires\/BLOG-2526-008--house-price-assessment-additional-analysis--evaluation-prix-proprietes-analyse-complementaire","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/additional-analyses--analyses-complementaires\/BLOG-2526-008--house-price-assessment-additional-analysis--evaluation-prix-proprietes-analyse-complementaire"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/additional-analyses--analyses-complementaires\/BLOG-2526-008--house-price-assessment-additional-analysis--evaluation-prix-proprietes-analyse-complementaire","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/additional-analyses--analyses-complementaires\/BLOG-2526-008--house-price-assessment-additional-analysis--evaluation-prix-proprietes-analyse-complementaire"}},"slug":"BLOG-2526-008--house-price-assessment-additional-analysis--evaluation-prix-proprietes-analyse-complementaire","abstract_en":"In response to questions from parliamentarians, this analysis considers the impact of extending the amortization period of mortgages to 40 years on house price affordability and presents mortgage debt service ratios across regions.","abstract_fr":"En r\u00e9ponse aux questions des parlementaires, cette analyse examine l\u2019incidence de l\u2019allongement de la p\u00e9riode d\u2019amortissement hypoth\u00e9caire (pour la faire passer \u00e0 40 ans) sur l\u2019accessibilit\u00e9 du prix des propri\u00e9t\u00e9s. Elle pr\u00e9sente aussi les ratios de service de la dette hypoth\u00e9caire dans diff\u00e9rentes r\u00e9gions.","hubs":[]}},{"type":"Publication","date":"2025-11-19T14:00:00.000000Z","payload":{"id":"RP-2526-018-S","is_published":"2025-11-19T13:57:09.000000Z","release_date":"2025-11-19T14:00:00.000000Z","last_revised_date":null,"title_en":"Supplementary Estimates (B) 2025-2026","title_fr":"Budget suppl\u00e9mentaire des d\u00e9penses (B) 2025-2026","internal_id":"RP-2526-018-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides a detailed analysis of the Government\u2019s secondary Supplementary Estimates for the 2025-26 fiscal year, which seeks Parliament\u2019s approval of $10.8 billion.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport pr\u00e9sente une analyse d\u00e9taill\u00e9e du deuxi\u00e8me Budget suppl\u00e9mentaire des d\u00e9penses du gouvernement pour l\u2019exercice 2025-2026, dans lequel ce dernier demande au Parlement d\u2019approuver des d\u00e9penses de 10,8 milliards de dollars.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"These Supplementary Estimates outline an additional $10.7 billion in budgetary authorities, which include a $113 million decrease in forecast statutory spending. Parliament\u2019s approval is required for $10.8 billion.","fr":"Ce Budget suppl\u00e9mentaire des d\u00e9penses pr\u00e9sente des autorisations budg\u00e9taires suppl\u00e9mentaires de 10,7 milliards de dollars, dont une baisse de 113 millions de dollars des d\u00e9penses l\u00e9gislatives pr\u00e9vues. Le Parlement doit approuver des d\u00e9penses de l\u2019ordre de 10,8 milliards de dollars."}},{"content":{"en":"These Supplementary Estimates do not include funding for Budget 2025 measures.","fr":"Ce Budget suppl\u00e9mentaire des d\u00e9penses n\u2019inclut pas de financement pour des mesures du budget de 2025."}},{"content":{"en":"Major areas of planned spending include health care, Indigenous-related programs and claims, defence, and personnel.","fr":"Les principaux secteurs de d\u00e9penses pr\u00e9vues sont les soins de sant\u00e9, les programmes et les revendications li\u00e9s aux Autochtones, la d\u00e9fense et le personnel."}},{"content":{"en":"Parliamentarians have approximately 5 weeks from tabling to approve the Government\u2019s financial request.","fr":"Les parlementaires disposent d\u2019environ cinq semaines \u00e0 la suite du d\u00e9p\u00f4t pour approuver la demande financi\u00e8re du gouvernement."}}]},"updated_at":"2025-11-19T13:57:09.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2526-018-S--supplementary-estimates-b-2025-2026--budget-supplementaire-depenses-b-2025-2026","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-018-S--supplementary-estimates-b-2025-2026--budget-supplementaire-depenses-b-2025-2026","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-018-S--supplementary-estimates-b-2025-2026--budget-supplementaire-depenses-b-2025-2026"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-018-S--supplementary-estimates-b-2025-2026--budget-supplementaire-depenses-b-2025-2026","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-018-S--supplementary-estimates-b-2025-2026--budget-supplementaire-depenses-b-2025-2026"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/9acfef1578a70b872cd8c108ecd0da1e135cdc21c7d7f036491bbb81c289ec8e"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/34b9579db6cc6db6921435d0a69501b93db6c3c98c092f2d2b9686a07dd21fe7"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b642f6101ca50094825d6594370667ee86c22f022cb4d1e2d7687bf11991e2fb","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f15d39f6ac83795cb5c29981ff640c86539f8a05b3477e512600da3682cbd1f8","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c071c75f1e7df301534d1863244266d5e036ab1d011daedf0aeaccd790b0a204","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a7421203710bf715d048a6bcc943efd2ee0ec59e17997aab4b288df18419b922","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/1c698d1a06873cdf40195d5dd046002d5464a67f0d40dec70dc2c14c06c19f52","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/52e4dd97d1c09f6ce4d7ff71b788267a2e50f65b84c9ff03e147f8bc1e3ac7ff","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b363af73a16a962218edab41e8738fd688f173feda86b2d18c67ec6d96073ee2","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d4332bc541a269797ccc6e8783ba4866aacb699542f4709f23b31f38cade0994"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b2cd38b81409ad24b5b053293a86f1c69a5de605da60e0ad288e0259766579d9","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d37399ddca48ce23077deba4c4617ec2d4baf84a02de72ffe19cbd5acf0ee2e5","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2b6d9150d2b0da92beb2e8e0e6e58765dfef1e90e8d7b7a73dcb385ab2481e74","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/641bff044953635d63344b1b3af7dde0ed60ed6859de14ea92ce9b14edab6ebc","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/bc3152d6d24f13259ab6b23b2714703ab4ede7c114bdfedf0422c156c3b089a7","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/0d1c7c467f345ec60bcb011fd6b7ce12171d5ba2c37a30f2a82cc1e5f8ec9850","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b18d18c49561c0961ca151f9d110fa276c50320656d22f94df2913903dd80cfa","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8fc71c6d304d508192a81fe994391d428af02edf536cb51ba9d355808091f597"}}},"bills":[],"hubs":[],"labels":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2526018S,\n author={Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Laurin, Marianne},\n title={Supplementary Estimates (B) 2025-2026},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2025,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2526018S,\n author={Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Laurin, Marianne},\n title={Budget suppl\\\u0027{e}mentaire des d\\\u0027{e}penses (B) 2025-2026},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2025,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}}},{"type":"Publication","date":"2025-11-14T14:00:00.000000Z","payload":{"id":"RP-2526-017-S","is_published":"2025-11-14T13:57:10.000000Z","release_date":"2025-11-14T14:00:00.000000Z","last_revised_date":null,"title_en":"Budget 2025: Issues for Parliamentarians","title_fr":"Budget de 2025 : enjeux pour les parlementaires","internal_id":"RP-2526-017-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"To assist parliamentarians in their budgetary deliberations, this report highlights key issues arising from Budget 2025.","abstract_fr":"Le pr\u00e9sent rapport fait ressortir les enjeux du budget de 2025 afin d\u2019aider les parlementaires dans leurs d\u00e9lib\u00e9rations budg\u00e9taires.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"Under Budget 2025 the deficit is projected to average $64.3 billion annually over 2025-26 to 2029-30\u2014more than double that projected in the 2024 Fall Economic Statement (FES). This deterioration primarily reflects new \u201cday-to-day\u201d operating measures and increased provisions for liabilities.","fr":"Le d\u00e9ficit projet\u00e9 dans le budget de 2025 devrait s\u2019\u00e9lever \u00e0 64,3 milliards de dollars par an, en moyenne, entre 2025-2026 et 2029-2030, soit plus du double de ce qui \u00e9tait pr\u00e9vu dans l\u2019\u00c9nonc\u00e9 \u00e9conomique de l\u2019automne 2024 (EEA). Cette d\u00e9t\u00e9rioration tient principalement aux nouvelles mesures de d\u00e9penses de fonctionnement courantes ainsi qu\u2019\u00e0 l\u2019augmentation des provisions pour passifs."}},{"content":{"en":"Absent measures since the 2024 FES and measures announced in Budget 2025, the day-to-day operating balance would be in a surplus position over 2026-27 to 2029-30. New operating measures since the 2024 FES and in Budget 2025 shift the day-to-day operating balance from a surplus to a deficit position in 2026-27 and 2027-28.","fr":"En l\u2019absence de mesures adopt\u00e9es depuis l\u2019\u00c9nonc\u00e9 \u00e9conomique de l\u2019automne 2024 et de mesures annonc\u00e9es dans le budget de 2025, le solde de fonctionnement courant serait exc\u00e9dentaire de 2026-2027 \u00e0 2029-2030. Les nouvelles mesures op\u00e9rationnelles prises depuis l\u2019\u00c9nonc\u00e9 \u00e9conomique de l\u2019automne 2024 et dans le budget de 2025 font passer le solde de fonctionnement courant d\u2019une position exc\u00e9dentaire \u00e0 une position d\u00e9ficitaire en 2026-2027 et 2027-2028."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO maintains its view that the Government\u2019s definition of capital investments is overly expansive. Based on PBO\u2019s definition, capital investments would total $217.3 billion over 2024-25 to 2029-30\u2014approximately 30 per cent ($94 billion) lower compared to Budget 2025. Moreover, based on PBO\u2019s definition, the day-to-day operating balance after new measures would remain in a deficit position.","fr":"Le directeur parlementaire du budget (DPB) maintient que la d\u00e9finition que donne le gouvernement aux investissements en capital est trop large. Selon la d\u00e9finition du DPB, les investissements en capital totaliseraient 217,3 milliards de dollars entre 2024-2025 et 2029-2030, soit environ 30 % (ou 94 milliards de dollars) de moins que ce qui est indiqu\u00e9 dans le budget de 2025. En outre, selon la d\u00e9finition du DPB, le solde de fonctionnement courant apr\u00e8s les nouvelles mesures resterait d\u00e9ficitaire."}},{"content":{"en":"Given the subjectivity involved in defining federal capital investments and their role in guiding fiscal policy decisions and in assessing fiscal performance, the PBO recommends that the Government establish an independent expert body to determine which federal spending categories and measures qualify as capital investment under an expanded definition beyond the Public Accounts of Canada.","fr":"\u00c9tant donn\u00e9 le caract\u00e8re subjectif de la d\u00e9finition des investissements en capital f\u00e9d\u00e9raux et du r\u00f4le que cela exerce dans l\u2019orientation des d\u00e9cisions de politique budg\u00e9taire et l\u2019\u00e9valuation de la performance financi\u00e8re, le DPB recommande que le gouvernement mette sur pied un organe d\u2019experts ind\u00e9pendant charg\u00e9 de d\u00e9terminer quelles cat\u00e9gories et mesures de d\u00e9penses f\u00e9d\u00e9rales peuvent \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9es comme des investissements en capital selon une d\u00e9finition \u00e9largie allant au-del\u00e0 de celle qui figure dans les Comptes publics du Canada."}},{"content":{"en":"Finance Canada projects the deficit-to-gross domestic product (GDP) ratio to increase to 2.5 per cent in 2025-26, before declining over the medium term to reach 1.5 per cent in 2029-30. Based on PBO stress testing, there is a 7.5 per cent chance that the deficit-to-GDP ratio will decline in every year over 2026-27 to 2029-30. This suggests it is unlikely that the Government\u2019s declining deficit-to-GDP fiscal anchor will be respected.","fr":"Le minist\u00e8re des Finances du Canada pr\u00e9voit que le ratio du d\u00e9ficit au produit int\u00e9rieur brut (PIB) augmentera pour atteindre 2,5 % en 2025 2026, avant de diminuer \u00e0 moyen terme pour s\u2019\u00e9tablir \u00e0 1,5 % en 2029-2030. D\u2019apr\u00e8s les tests de r\u00e9sistance faits par le DPB, il y a 7,5 % de chances que le ratio du d\u00e9ficit au PIB diminue chaque ann\u00e9e entre 2026-2027 et 2029-2030. Il est donc peu probable que l\u2019ancrage budg\u00e9taire du gouvernement, qui consiste \u00e0 r\u00e9duire le d\u00e9ficit par rapport au PIB, puisse \u00eatre respect\u00e9."}},{"content":{"en":"Based on the long-term baseline projection in Budget 2025, there is limited fiscal room for the Government to reduce revenues or increase program spending while ensuring the federal debt-to-GDP ratio in 2055-56 is at or below its initial (2024-25) level. This contrasts with fiscal policy settings over the last 3 years that would have provided more fiscal room to address future challenges and risks.","fr":"Si l\u2019on se fie \u00e0 la projection de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence \u00e0 long terme du budget de 2025, le gouvernement dispose d\u2019une marge de man\u0153uvre limit\u00e9e pour r\u00e9duire les recettes ou augmenter les d\u00e9penses de programme tout en veillant \u00e0 ce que le ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale au PIB en 2055-2056 soit \u00e9gal ou inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 son niveau initial (2024-2025). Cela contraste avec les orientations de la politique budg\u00e9taire des trois derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, qui auraient laiss\u00e9 une plus grande marge de man\u0153uvre budg\u00e9taire pour faire face aux difficult\u00e9s et risques \u00e0 venir."}}]},"updated_at":"2025-11-14T15:33:44.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2526-017-S--budget-2025-issues-parliamentarians--budget-2025-enjeux-parlementaires","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-017-S--budget-2025-issues-parliamentarians--budget-2025-enjeux-parlementaires","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-017-S--budget-2025-issues-parliamentarians--budget-2025-enjeux-parlementaires"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-017-S--budget-2025-issues-parliamentarians--budget-2025-enjeux-parlementaires","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-017-S--budget-2025-issues-parliamentarians--budget-2025-enjeux-parlementaires"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/190ba7d3612031a7e15f5b45833a685e0e579add5a40fc0d2730ef043aeea0b1"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/11797a4a5a96402a6dff5e71d18bb4fc678ec811231050e8fc72d915c5d35c8d"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e08841cae2811e27880d501dce5832241dc4fe34dc19f4afe3decec187de3bf5","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/1a20f4ab18092d07b4521a444ab210b87423419a8fe5fdbc3a14e121267a4a3f","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/9d2b9079f7b09aaaceba9f80da40a84923056a85392109f12449c60bdb02ba98","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4c4a10d55deeadda8a99a189b7947730ed35bd681c48a52301c320b10f3a8e30","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/6781bb9a6bf8ff4359e2fcae3aff84088305ea7682058d4408ed39c5bf9a3c38","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/91134b534e7e39cd35883cb453f9ea962b5b6bb29b198a87cee5f17a7fb2a3d1","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/110c41a7c0202fe3d30f209b87f2d63279a20d230d76ec962fff452a57069779","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d039c68fb3012dbb63f372e1d023235ec052381f8ec3a67679bb5fd06d862acf"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/616c4c41bd7c0a774429ff29fc2121bf654394e95b5ed04065ae7acbbae8980d","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3bd2d88773ac214b3d3d1716ea55dd33afb784f10a4e7009ac41d658200b74a2","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/40a2f134b31f66d5ec92ed4d3d0d9e8ab5c3d4076f1ad6c5f5e027c649a50b4a","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a93250fe7d1a3a4b2e82b8581064d70ae1be9636bfe1cd9ce10cf17b915fa9ae","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/84163b7b9556102c6374415d47ecab059783139209f554369c0152d2194bfab8","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/eead0848d471975a9a7bd9ce84285b122ee77dbef4134a1316fccf774844ab37","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d494a395628f808e08fe08e526dbe2abb8f21fab9fdb2cb30b8a2da237bfacc9","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/bfd4d73fe10ff2ecff87305b7fb0187ef19bf1f4a6373dd1908c6909a49433bd"}}},"bills":[],"hubs":[],"labels":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2526017S,\n author={Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason and Kho, Albert and Penney, Christopher E. and Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={Budget 2025: Issues for Parliamentarians},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2025,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2526017S,\n author={Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason and Kho, Albert and Penney, Christopher E. and Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={Budget de 2025 : enjeux pour les parlementaires},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2025,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}}},{"type":"NewsRelease","date":"2025-11-05T15:00:00.000000Z","payload":{"id":88,"created_at":"2025-11-05T10:00:40-05:00","updated_at":"2025-11-08T10:30:22-05:00","slug":"parliamentary-budget-officer-supports-informed-debate-on-budget-2025-le-directeur-parlementaire-du-budget-entame-une-analyse-du-budget-de-2025-pour-eclairer-le-debat-sur-lavenir-financier-du-canada","title_en":"Parliamentary Budget Officer Supports Informed Debate on Budget 2025","title_fr":"Le directeur parlementaire du budget entame une analyse du budget de 2025 pour \u00e9clairer le d\u00e9bat sur l\u2019avenir financier du Canada","body_en":"The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) is undertaking extensive analysis of the Government\u2019s 2025 budget. This analysis will be released in the coming weeks to coincide with parliamentary debate and committee study of the budget implementation legislation.\n\nIn the meantime, PBO will place a priority on technical questions from parliamentarians and their staff to support their deliberations.\n\nInterim Parliamentary Budget Officer Jason Jacques emphasized the importance of transparency and non-partisan analysis at this critical juncture:\n\n\u201c*With significant new spending and shifting fiscal priorities, it is essential that parliamentarians have access to clear, independent and relevant analysis,*\u201d said Mr. Jacques. \u201c*Our office is committed to providing timely analysis to support parliamentary deliberations.*\u201d","body_fr":"Le Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget (DPB) entreprend une analyse approfondie du budget de 2025 du gouvernement f\u00e9d\u00e9ral. Cette analyse sera publi\u00e9e dans les prochaines semaines, afin de co\u00efncider avec le d\u00e9bat parlementaire et l\u0027\u00e9tude en comit\u00e9 du projet de loi d\u0027ex\u00e9cution du budget.\n\nDans l\u0027intervalle, le DPB accordera la priorit\u00e9 aux questions techniques pos\u00e9es par les parlementaires et leur personnel afin de faciliter leurs d\u00e9lib\u00e9rations.\n\nJason Jacques, le directeur parlementaire du budget par int\u00e9rim, a soulign\u00e9 l\u2019importance de la transparence et des d\u00e9lib\u00e9rations fond\u00e9es sur des donn\u00e9es probantes en ce moment d\u00e9terminant :\n\n\u00ab Compte tenu des nouvelles d\u00e9penses importantes et de l\u0027\u00e9volution des priorit\u00e9s budg\u00e9taires, il est essentiel que les parlementaires aient acc\u00e8s \u00e0 des analyses claires, ind\u00e9pendantes et pertinentes \u00bb, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 M. Jacques. \u00ab Notre bureau s\u0027engage \u00e0 fournir des analyses opportunes pour appuyer les d\u00e9lib\u00e9rations parlementaires. \u00bb","release_date":"2025-11-05T10:00:00-05:00","is_published":"2025-11-05T10:01:08-05:00","appears_on_feed":true,"internal_id":"COM-2526-088","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/blog\/news-releases--communiques-de-presse\/parliamentary-budget-officer-supports-informed-debate-on-budget-2025-le-directeur-parlementaire-du-budget-entame-une-analyse-du-budget-de-2025-pour-eclairer-le-debat-sur-lavenir-financier-du-canada"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/blog\/news-releases--communiques-de-presse\/parliamentary-budget-officer-supports-informed-debate-on-budget-2025-le-directeur-parlementaire-du-budget-entame-une-analyse-du-budget-de-2025-pour-eclairer-le-debat-sur-lavenir-financier-du-canada"}}}},{"type":"Publication","date":"2025-10-30T13:00:00.000000Z","payload":{"id":"RP-2526-015-S","is_published":"2025-10-30T12:57:17.000000Z","release_date":"2025-10-30T13:00:00.000000Z","last_revised_date":null,"title_en":"Individuals adversely affected by the Middle-Class Tax Cut","title_fr":"Particuliers d\u00e9savantag\u00e9s par la r\u00e9duction d\u2019imp\u00f4t pour la classe moyenne","internal_id":"RP-2526-015-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"In response to parliamentary interest, this report provides an analysis of tax filers that are adversely affected by the reduction in the personal income tax rate from 15 per cent to 14 per cent.","abstract_fr":"\u00c9tant donn\u00e9 l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat manifest\u00e9 par les parlementaires, ce rapport pr\u00e9sente une analyse des d\u00e9clarants qui sont d\u00e9savantag\u00e9s par la r\u00e9duction, de 15 % \u00e0 14 %, du taux de l\u2019imp\u00f4t sur le revenu des particuliers.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"The Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) estimates that the Government\u2019s proposal to reduce the lowest personal income tax (PIT) rate from 15 per cent to 14 per cent will adversely affect 19,690 single (less than 1 per cent of single tax filers) and 19,420 couples (less than 1 per cent of couples) in 2026, increasing their federal tax payable by $141 and $155, respectively, on average.","fr":"Le directeur parlementaire du budget (DPB) estime que la proposition du gouvernement de r\u00e9duire le taux le plus bas de l\u2019imp\u00f4t sur le revenu des particuliers (IRP) de 15 % \u00e0 14 % aura un effet n\u00e9gatif sur 19 690 d\u00e9clarants c\u00e9libataires (1 % des d\u00e9clarants c\u00e9libataires) et 19 420 couples (1 % des couples) en 2026, ce qui en moyenne fera augmenter leur montant d\u2019imp\u00f4t f\u00e9d\u00e9ral \u00e0 payer de 141 $ et 155 $, respectivement."}},{"content":{"en":"Under the PIT rate reduction, adversely affected tax filers are individuals either subject to alternative minimum tax (AMT)\u2014a parallel tax calculation designed to ensure high-income earners pay a minimum amount of income tax\u2014or have taxable income and a value of non-refundable tax credits that exceed the lowest income threshold.","fr":"Dans le cadre de la r\u00e9duction du taux de l\u2019IRP, les d\u00e9clarants d\u00e9savantag\u00e9s sont soit assujettis \u00e0 l\u2019imp\u00f4t minimum de remplacement (IMR) \u2013 un calcul fiscal parall\u00e8le con\u00e7u pour que les particuliers \u00e0 revenu \u00e9lev\u00e9 paient un montant minimum d\u2019imp\u00f4t sur le revenu \u2013 ou ont un revenu imposable et une valeur de cr\u00e9dits d\u2019imp\u00f4t non remboursables qui d\u00e9passent le seuil de la premi\u00e8re tranche de revenu imposable."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO estimates that adversely affected single tax filers subject to AMT will pay an average of $127 more in federal income tax ($132 for couples) in 2026.","fr":"Le DPB estime que les d\u00e9clarants c\u00e9libataires assujettis \u00e0 l\u2019IRP qui seront d\u00e9savantag\u00e9s paieront en moyenne 127 $ de plus en imp\u00f4t f\u00e9d\u00e9ral sur le revenu (132 $ dans le cas des couples) en 2026."}},{"content":{"en":"Most adversely affected single tax filers not subject to AMT have high medical expense claims. PBO estimates they will pay an average of $166 more in federal income tax ($195 for couples) in 2026.","fr":"La plupart des d\u00e9clarants c\u00e9libataires d\u00e9savantag\u00e9s qui ne sont pas assujettis \u00e0 l\u2019AMT ont des frais m\u00e9dicaux \u00e9lev\u00e9s. Le DPB estime qu\u2019ils paieront en moyenne 166 $ de plus en imp\u00f4t f\u00e9d\u00e9ral sur le revenu (195 $ dans le cas des couples) en 2026."}},{"content":{"en":"Roughly 17 per cent of adversely affected single tax filers (35 per cent of couples) not subject to AMT claim the disability amount, though they represent less than 1 per cent of all single tax filers (less than 1 per cent for couples) claiming the disability amount.","fr":"Environ 17 % des d\u00e9clarants c\u00e9libataires d\u00e9savantag\u00e9s (35 % des couples) qui ne sont pas assujettis \u00e0 l\u2019IMR demandent le montant pour personnes handicap\u00e9es, mais ils repr\u00e9sentent moins de 1 % de l\u2019ensemble des d\u00e9clarants c\u00e9libataires qui demandent le montant pour personnes handicap\u00e9es (moins de 1 % pour les couples \u00e9galement)."}}]},"updated_at":"2025-10-30T13:11:09.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2526-015-S--individuals-adversely-affected-middle-class-tax--particuliers-desavantages-reduction-impot-classe-moyenne","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-015-S--individuals-adversely-affected-middle-class-tax--particuliers-desavantages-reduction-impot-classe-moyenne","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-015-S--individuals-adversely-affected-middle-class-tax--particuliers-desavantages-reduction-impot-classe-moyenne"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-015-S--individuals-adversely-affected-middle-class-tax--particuliers-desavantages-reduction-impot-classe-moyenne","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-015-S--individuals-adversely-affected-middle-class-tax--particuliers-desavantages-reduction-impot-classe-moyenne"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/5f323c64cefc3eed9899d10af5c6907558ab809581b0e3f1d8cbe95247983b26"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/793143c927f892a15aef12605f06895de377edd8652368942d6f768f50363b41"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e4d5a2e25414f8f01f1816734cad1593f2071476f0d8666244c634ef58e2f37f","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/111a067c2cd648f90d5ca85064be4d26b0151f69339386dbd9ee76f91dc8c81e","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/315478f766b18f752dc8f94d69e5829bb8c884c1e8fb3981b2db706a4e948e9b","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/79de936fbc9dca7132c82faa2d4e6e3c250dc988d5c890f6b13fa2a013270b6c","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/10257a9d6623b08388c8350ce6072ea3f698fa4b4935b604fb93385cc4e24ad4","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/55109a999ebc361fbbacda48c6f5f61ac83856b5ec8afa58fd00a05d701988cd","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d28e8dc9d60fc6ca3d03cce282b412cb2057762327796059cee22ef968274a34","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/64d3bcfcb24fbf0c6a138eb5421813573859e87883450ab85605f2e836d95ce5"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c139e977f031e4734f33a03f8ddc27c30183d3378624cfd369c2116c39d220ec","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4b527c0a29868433a85491c948a0031e0e919c7c8538ed435f7e94a23b40eb20","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c4d627a3a97dd6bc81bd19c89ba5c5f1fa6adf32f26ebfd3853aeac0be5480ad","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e9e06cca035ff74c2f3aa820c64daa589fbe2189a921e936f90cf7578a394d68","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/dc76cdb5b4d1b1aa85a04d93962609a0dccbe9a8698730a8598f3aafde9abfea","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/afd0ebe54f64cdce3d51f38b520de7cad38f14e1158388646d34d539f0ca14b5","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/0e0ec82ba719fa3f65179d4543891dfff8a41fc8967e739dd7166d67941bc07f","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a99875a78bdd05b3383800b495adf25e76c99a06268967d74063ab852b7aa1f3"}}},"bills":[{"id":648,"created_at":"2025-06-09T20:57:23-04:00","updated_at":"2026-02-09T08:55:56-05:00","legisid":"45_1_C-4","parliament":45,"session":1,"prefix":"C","number":4,"title_en":"An Act respecting certain affordability measures for Canadians and another measure","title_fr":"Loi concernant certaines mesures d\u0027abordabilit\u00e9 pour les Canadiens et une autre mesure","bill_num":"C-4","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/bills--projets-de-loi\/45-1\/C-4","legisinfo":"https:\/\/www.parl.ca\/legisinfo\/en\/bill\/45-1\/c-4"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/bills--projets-de-loi\/45-1\/C-4","legisinfo":"https:\/\/www.parl.ca\/LegisInfo\/fr\/projet-de-loi\/45-1\/c-4"}},"pivot":{"publication_id":868,"bill_id":648}}],"hubs":[],"labels":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2526015S,\n author={Busby, Carleigh},\n title={Individuals adversely affected by the Middle-Class Tax Cut},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2025,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2526015S,\n author={Busby, Carleigh},\n title={Particuliers d\\\u0027{e}savantag\\\u0027{e}s par la r\\\u0027{e}duction d\u2019imp\\^{o}t pour la classe moyenne},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2025,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}}},{"type":"Publication","date":"2025-10-30T13:00:00.000000Z","payload":{"id":"RP-2526-014-S","is_published":"2025-10-30T12:57:08.000000Z","release_date":"2025-10-30T13:00:00.000000Z","last_revised_date":null,"title_en":"Fiscal Implications of the Government\u2019s Purchase of Canada Mortgage Bonds","title_fr":"Incidence financi\u00e8re de l\u2019achat d\u2019Obligations hypoth\u00e9caires du Canada par le gouvernement","internal_id":"RP-2526-014-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides an overview of the fiscal impact of the Government\u2019s commitment to purchase up to $30 billion annually in Canada Mortgage Bonds.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport contient un aper\u00e7u des r\u00e9percussions financi\u00e8res de l\u2019engagement du gouvernement \u00e0 consacrer jusqu\u2019\u00e0 30 milliards de dollars par ann\u00e9e \u00e0 l\u2019achat d\u2019Obligations hypoth\u00e9caires du Canada.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"In the 2023 Fall Economic Statement, the Government announced it would purchase up to $30 billion in Canada Mortgage Bonds (CMBs) each year, starting in early 2024.","fr":"Dans l\u2019\u00c9nonc\u00e9 \u00e9conomique de l\u2019automne de 2023, le gouvernement du Canada a annonc\u00e9 son intention de consacrer un maximum de 30 milliards de dollars par ann\u00e9e \u00e0 l\u2019achat d\u2019Obligations hypoth\u00e9caires du Canada (OHC) \u00e0 compter de 2024."}},{"content":{"en":"To date, the Government has purchased $50.8 billion in CMBs, which represents 48.1 per cent of the total amount of CMBs issued since February 2024.","fr":"Jusqu\u2019\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent, le gouvernement a achet\u00e9 pour 50,8 milliards de dollars d\u2019OHC, ce qui repr\u00e9sente 48,1 % de la quantit\u00e9 totale d\u2019OHC \u00e9mises depuis f\u00e9vrier 2024."}},{"content":{"en":"The yield spread between CMBs and Government of Canada bonds of similar maturity, has narrowed since the Government\u2019s purchases started, reducing its expected revenue relative to what would have been anticipated based on historical spreads.","fr":"L\u2019\u00e9cart de rendement entre les OHC et les obligations du gouvernement du Canada qui sont de dur\u00e9es similaires s\u2019est r\u00e9tr\u00e9ci depuis le d\u00e9but de ces achats; en cons\u00e9quence, les revenus ont \u00e9t\u00e9 inf\u00e9rieurs aux attentes fond\u00e9es sur le rendement pass\u00e9."}},{"content":{"en":"Increased borrowing to fund these purchases could raise the Government\u2019s overall borrowing costs, while relying on short-term debt to finance longer-term assets exposes it to higher short-term interest rates, which if realized could also reduce or offset net revenues from the purchased CMBs.","fr":"Si le gouvernement empruntait davantage pour financer ces achats, il pourrait faire grimper ses co\u00fbts 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The Government\u2019s commitments to meet North Atlantic Treaty Organization spending targets contributes to this increase, though this report does not assess the capital plan relative to those targets.","fr":"La hausse des d\u00e9penses en capital pr\u00e9vues s\u2019explique par l\u2019ajout de nouveaux projets et par la r\u00e9vision de projets existants dans le cadre de la politique de d\u00e9fense actualis\u00e9e. Les engagements pris par le gouvernement pour atteindre les cibles de d\u00e9penses de l\u2019Organisation du Trait\u00e9 de l\u2019Atlantique Nord contribuent \u00e0 cette augmentation, mais le pr\u00e9sent rapport n\u2019\u00e9value pas le plan de d\u00e9penses en capital \u00e0 la lumi\u00e8re de ces cibles."}},{"content":{"en":"Preliminary figures indicate capital expenditures of approximately $10.6 billion in 2024-25, suggesting that DND has started to increase spending toward planned levels. 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{"id":90,"time":"2026-02-12T15:30:00-05:00","timezone":"America\/Toronto","meeting_url_en":"https:\/\/www.ourcommons.ca\/documentviewer\/en\/45-1\/HESA\/meeting-22\/notice","meeting_url_fr":"https:\/\/www.ourcommons.ca\/DocumentViewer\/fr\/45-1\/HESA\/reunion-22\/avis-convocation","recording_url_en":"https:\/\/parlvu.parl.gc.ca\/Harmony\/en\/PowerBrowser\/PowerBrowserV2?fk=13322257","recording_url_fr":"https:\/\/parlvu.parl.gc.ca\/Harmony\/fr\/PowerBrowser\/PowerBrowserV2?fk=13322257","opening_remarks_en":null,"opening_remarks_fr":null,"byline_en":null,"byline_fr":null,"committee":{"id":16,"acronym":"HESA","name_en":"Standing Committee on Health","name_fr":"Comit\u00e9 permanent de la sant\u00e9","chamber":"lower"},"publications":[{"id":"RP-2526-023-C","is_published":"2026-02-12T13:57:12.000000Z","release_date":"2026-02-12T14:00:00.000000Z","last_revised_date":null,"title_en":"Projecting the Cost of the Interim Federal Health Program","title_fr":"Pr\u00e9vision du co\u00fbt du Programme f\u00e9d\u00e9ral de sant\u00e9 int\u00e9rimaire","internal_id":"RP-2526-023-C","metadata":{"abstract_en":"In response to a request by the Standing Committee on Health, this report projects the fiscal cost of the Interim Federal Health Program and details some of the key cost drivers.","abstract_fr":"En r\u00e9ponse \u00e0 une demande du Comit\u00e9 permanent de la sant\u00e9, ce rapport \u00e9value le co\u00fbt financier du Programme f\u00e9d\u00e9ral de sant\u00e9 int\u00e9rimaire et d\u00e9crit en d\u00e9tail certains des principaux facteurs de co\u00fbt.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"The Interim Federal Health Program (IFHP) provides limited and temporary healthcare coverage to some groups of foreign nationals who are not eligible for health insurance from provinces or territories.","fr":"Le Programme f\u00e9d\u00e9ral de sant\u00e9 int\u00e9rimaire (PFSI) offre une couverture de soins de sant\u00e9 limit\u00e9e et temporaire \u00e0 certains groupes de ressortissants \u00e9trangers qui ne sont pas admissibles \u00e0 l\u2019assurance maladie provinciale ou territoriale."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO estimates that total IFHP costs will reach almost $1.0 billion in 2025\u201126 and rise to over $1.5 billion by 2029\u201130. PBO projects that annual growth in IFHP costs will average well below the average growth observed over the past five years, reflecting both a moderated increase in the number of beneficiaries and a more gradual rise in average annual costs.","fr":"Le DPB estime que les co\u00fbts totaux du PFSI atteindront presque 1,0 milliard de dollars en 2025\u20112026 et d\u00e9passeront 1,5 milliard de dollars d\u2019ici 2029\u20112030. Le DPB pr\u00e9voit que la croissance annuelle moyenne des d\u00e9penses du PFSI se situera bien en de\u00e7\u00e0 de la croissance moyenne observ\u00e9e au cours des cinq derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, en raison d\u2019une hausse mod\u00e9r\u00e9e du nombre de b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiaires et d\u2019une augmentation plus graduelle des co\u00fbts annuels moyens."}},{"content":{"en":"Budget 2025 indicated that a \u201cmodest co-payment model\u201d will be introduced to the Interim Federal Health Program for supplemental health products or services. This change to the program is not reflected in our projection. Including this new measure would reduce our estimate of the total cost for the IFHP program.","fr":"Le budget de 2025 pr\u00e9voit l\u2019introduction d\u2019un \u00ab mod\u00e8le de syst\u00e8me de copaiement modeste \u00bb dans le Programme f\u00e9d\u00e9ral de sant\u00e9 int\u00e9rimaire pour les produits et services de sant\u00e9 suppl\u00e9mentaires. Ce changement au programme n\u2019est pas pris en compte dans notre projection. En tenir compte r\u00e9duirait notre co\u00fbt total estimatif pour le PFSI."}}]},"updated_at":"2026-02-12T13:57:12.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2526-023-C--projecting-cost-interim-federal-health-program--prevision-cout-programme-federal-sante-interimaire","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-023-C--projecting-cost-interim-federal-health-program--prevision-cout-programme-federal-sante-interimaire","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-023-C--projecting-cost-interim-federal-health-program--prevision-cout-programme-federal-sante-interimaire"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-023-C--projecting-cost-interim-federal-health-program--prevision-cout-programme-federal-sante-interimaire","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-023-C--projecting-cost-interim-federal-health-program--prevision-cout-programme-federal-sante-interimaire"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/31783854f16938bf248bd247ee13cc2e4268b33e4b82466a1eadbb97a89964cb"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/dd5f65d2eb0ec9735cc026820e18d1a696ba3bc3c9426cb612b38015d8063bbb"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/729677ac5a2abd23e4b63bce4106932ac378a57079525eca7cf679a08388fc07","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8e02ef5b35a8487251bb690e968c27b7618f87448ce114b403ded1c48fa50739","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8215aba239d6aff12fb0020a3419b1811d2470a9facaedc6250d9ca25a68ef74","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cc6d2936cba302664878b64fda43a41e15981394443e7c0d8776edbf205c59db","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a11e069804c970edcf1ade6b723475a161b99be0b7afa05c49ff7fef7f050a89","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8ba6bfba5d570b6058218bca150b42f6b8104df032d13fb4f731b11d6b011443","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/23135c5fab73cf49b3046680d72b4233d2745e51aa8428c52baab3598ea3a7be","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/225f097e63444faadadc87d639743d67cf5ae32b2007f4a1a0f90de34c7c354e"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/0838b28a3dcd75dac76de9d9454f41738ef4d45caadbfa516cde00eafc5ed602","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a6ab17946fa3c6cda9bd41d816f5a776e542453efb1d6382e7f5063bcec95192","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e9983d32dac06252d70d901f12e780a7b91c09ffd9ce0f9a04c44236cd040d83","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/95ac2381ee428cee60ec2d80de134aa910b7df1645886bfa2c220e03e9a3ddaf","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/812528412d0cd626581a7f264801cd07266752642750afb62ae9d374bc8358d1","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/87b25d2851ccebf6c0f9db590a894c46f2057ad0283f75d5626b7522c88fa276","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/fc7259b44f29279915acb05bf949cba1c8b44ac422f42998641799aabe18c58f","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/554b9f01c089229029ead007de371a634959190994d0ca96a403e9966016ab9f"}}},"bills":[],"labels":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2526023C,\n author={Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason},\n title={Projecting the Cost of the Interim Federal Health Program},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2026,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2526023C,\n author={Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason},\n title={Pr\\\u0027{e}vision du cout du Programme f\\\u0027{e}d\\\u0027{e}ral de sant\\\u0027{e} int\\\u0027{e}rimaire},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2026,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}}]} {"id":88,"time":"2026-02-10T16:30:00-05:00","timezone":"America\/Toronto","meeting_url_en":"https:\/\/www.ourcommons.ca\/documentviewer\/en\/45-1\/ENVI\/meeting-24\/notice","meeting_url_fr":"https:\/\/www.ourcommons.ca\/DocumentViewer\/fr\/45-1\/ENVI\/reunion-24\/avis-convocation","recording_url_en":"https:\/\/parlvu.parl.gc.ca\/Harmony\/en\/PowerBrowser\/PowerBrowserV2?fk=13319736","recording_url_fr":"https:\/\/parlvu.parl.gc.ca\/Harmony\/fr\/PowerBrowser\/PowerBrowserV2?fk=13319736","opening_remarks_en":null,"opening_remarks_fr":null,"byline_en":null,"byline_fr":null,"committee":{"id":2,"acronym":"ENVI","name_en":"Standing Committee on Environment and Sustainable Development","name_fr":"Comit\u00e9 permanent de l\u0027environnement et du d\u00e9veloppement durable","chamber":"lower"},"publications":[{"id":"RP-2526-013-S","is_published":"2025-10-23T12:57:08.000000Z","release_date":"2025-10-23T13:00:00.000000Z","last_revised_date":null,"title_en":"Projecting the Cost of the Disaster Financial Assistance Arrangements Program","title_fr":"Projection du co\u00fbt du programme des Accords d\u2019aide financi\u00e8re en cas de catastrophe","internal_id":"RP-2526-013-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report projects the cost of the Disaster Financial Assistance Arrangements (DFAA) program over 2025 to 2034 and provides a breakdown of costs across major disaster types including floods, wildfires, and storms.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport projette le co\u00fbt du programme des Accords d\u2019aide financi\u00e8re en cas de catastrophe (AAFCC) de 2025 \u00e0 2034 et fournit une r\u00e9partition des co\u00fbts selon les principaux types de catastrophes, notamment les inondations, les feux de for\u00eat et les temp\u00eates.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"The Disaster Financial Assistance Arrangements (DFAA) program provides financial assistance to provincial and territorial governments following disasters caused by natural hazards. The program has provided more than $14 billion in support since its inception in 1970.","fr":"Le programme des Accords d\u2019aide financi\u00e8re en cas de catastrophe (AAFCC) fournit une aide financi\u00e8re aux gouvernements provinciaux et territoriaux \u00e0 la suite de catastrophes caus\u00e9es par des ph\u00e9nom\u00e8nes naturels. Le programme a fourni plus de 14 milliards de dollars de soutien depuis sa cr\u00e9ation en 1970."}},{"content":{"en":"Federal costs under the program have increased rapidly. PBO projects that costs will increase further from $881 million per year, on average, over 2010 to 2024 to $1.8 billion per year, on average, over 2025 to 2034. Floods are projected to be the costliest type of disaster, with DFAA support averaging $1.2 billion per year over 2025 to 2034.","fr":"Les co\u00fbts f\u00e9d\u00e9raux dans le cadre du programme ont augment\u00e9 rapidement. Le DPB pr\u00e9voit que le co\u00fbt augmentera encore de 881 millions de dollars par an, en moyenne, entre 2010 et 2024 \u00e0 1,8 milliard de dollars par an, en moyenne, entre 2025 et 2034. Les inondations devraient \u00eatre le type de catastrophe le plus co\u00fbteux, le soutien du programme des AAFCC s\u2019\u00e9levant en moyenne \u00e0 1,2 milliard de dollars par an entre 2025 et 2034."}},{"content":{"en":"Earlier this year the Government announced that the DFAA program would be updated effective April 1, 2025. The updated DFAA program is expected to increase federal assistance by 3 to 4 per cent relative to support projected under the previous structure. This incremental cost is reflected in our projection.","fr":"Plus t\u00f4t cette ann\u00e9e, le gouvernement a annonc\u00e9 que le programme des AAFCC serait mis \u00e0 jour \u00e0 compter du 1er avril 2025. Le programme des AAFCC mis \u00e0 jour devrait voir l\u2019aide f\u00e9d\u00e9rale augmenter de 3 \u00e0 4 % par rapport au soutien pr\u00e9vu dans le cadre de la structure pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente. Ce co\u00fbt suppl\u00e9mentaire se refl\u00e8te dans notre projection."}}]},"updated_at":"2025-10-23T17:37:48.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2526-013-S--projecting-cost-disaster-financial-assistance-arrangements-program--projection-cout-programme-accords-aide-financiere-cas-catastrophe","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-013-S--projecting-cost-disaster-financial-assistance-arrangements-program--projection-cout-programme-accords-aide-financiere-cas-catastrophe","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-013-S--projecting-cost-disaster-financial-assistance-arrangements-program--projection-cout-programme-accords-aide-financiere-cas-catastrophe"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-013-S--projecting-cost-disaster-financial-assistance-arrangements-program--projection-cout-programme-accords-aide-financiere-cas-catastrophe","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-013-S--projecting-cost-disaster-financial-assistance-arrangements-program--projection-cout-programme-accords-aide-financiere-cas-catastrophe"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/da2ee975d29496c9a45f4301542dc14a103bfc2d4588388d44356e474d50d082"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/419e53b6ed696d495cce2dfd0671a22384d007643921954e77d6c201633491a9"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/6ac136ebe6b0a627f421c8f9e68b086b9341072c0ebe7a75bc7905c927ef3f5c","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/da599c4b31560e2cc19c81dabcdb4fe216786b032754dff4113211776a6e18ae","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/19d73d7b9dc35cd09918e2eaea49102c8810d9db539d184975b193cb9b5b40b9","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/dd7e3b7dbda1b0ae00c46ed8771d6e32f46cacab8a89c30e5b062e412f1e92ae","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f832f8b373a841be1ddaf370afa7e30e9afc72cc84f7457d4fb2449181b4a04c","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/abc6cf2ac34b9fd208a971fbb5dcec53c4f1f197c19dd715b95823ed83c5bfb7","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/718cdd02189b4f63c0abfb8f5f9d6592ee03db2f4ec3d6c7bb8955031e97d359","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/23ea24633d46c2f1d9538e6e498f31c248a12e5616daf9a8e6b843f1d571738d"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c91d3cc2d8e53d02d98bcf8961631fe54aa5825fa1359417c230a8f144862522","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/89055bb74ddf29b1d545c2c8998b4ab09e9a63ede60488fd09e8a3697df8c18e","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/40b441df848cf9205ef6b4a6b0f9a9c756b0fcba2e6377014751bf5d1770315b","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/1b6e782559ea660ed1a1dd61897aca912d2778d30827c4ed863c8d789def9982","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/41627cc8b9e8a4fca494211bc5ed6824e56b834910ce5c87ea0f6eae2207e1bc","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c306894787c11c3bc918c1d07c0f615749d534732835ca61a60bb565f73d9fed","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/574eb739e744933d20563cae403478ebea799c70d71c30576032735ab1a6ff90","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e6d3492aad38275c18bdf785e8e6b9224abc4df3937d8c0ec9cb33ab84436f5b"}}},"bills":[],"labels":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2526013S,\n author={Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={Projecting the Cost of the Disaster Financial Assistance Arrangements Program},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2025,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2526013S,\n author={Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={Projection du cout du programme des Accords d\u2019aide financi\\`{e}re en cas de catastrophe},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2025,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}}]} {"id":89,"time":"2026-02-10T10:00:00-05:00","timezone":"America\/Toronto","meeting_url_en":"https:\/\/sencanada.ca\/en\/committees\/NFFN\/noticeofmeeting\/683341\/45-1#?session=45-1","meeting_url_fr":"https:\/\/sencanada.ca\/fr\/comites\/NFFN\/Avisdeconvocation\/683341\/45-1","recording_url_en":"https:\/\/senparlvu.parl.gc.ca\/harmony\/en\/powerbrowser\/powerbrowserv2?fk=683341\u0026globalstreamid=3","recording_url_fr":"https:\/\/senparlvu.parl.gc.ca\/harmony\/fr\/powerbrowser\/powerbrowserv2?fk=683341\u0026globalstreamid=8","opening_remarks_en":null,"opening_remarks_fr":null,"byline_en":null,"byline_fr":null,"committee":{"id":39,"acronym":"NFFN","name_en":"Standing Senate Committee on National Finance","name_fr":"Comit\u00e9 s\u00e9natorial permanent des finances nationales","chamber":"upper"},"publications":[{"id":"RP-2526-015-S","is_published":"2025-10-30T12:57:17.000000Z","release_date":"2025-10-30T13:00:00.000000Z","last_revised_date":null,"title_en":"Individuals adversely affected by the Middle-Class Tax Cut","title_fr":"Particuliers d\u00e9savantag\u00e9s par la r\u00e9duction d\u2019imp\u00f4t pour la classe moyenne","internal_id":"RP-2526-015-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"In response to parliamentary interest, this report provides an analysis of tax filers that are adversely affected by the reduction in the personal income tax rate from 15 per cent to 14 per cent.","abstract_fr":"\u00c9tant donn\u00e9 l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat manifest\u00e9 par les parlementaires, ce rapport pr\u00e9sente une analyse des d\u00e9clarants qui sont d\u00e9savantag\u00e9s par la r\u00e9duction, de 15 % \u00e0 14 %, du taux de l\u2019imp\u00f4t sur le revenu des particuliers.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"The Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) estimates that the Government\u2019s proposal to reduce the lowest personal income tax (PIT) rate from 15 per cent to 14 per cent will adversely affect 19,690 single (less than 1 per cent of single tax filers) and 19,420 couples (less than 1 per cent of couples) in 2026, increasing their federal tax payable by $141 and $155, respectively, on average.","fr":"Le directeur parlementaire du budget (DPB) estime que la proposition du gouvernement de r\u00e9duire le taux le plus bas de l\u2019imp\u00f4t sur le revenu des particuliers (IRP) de 15 % \u00e0 14 % aura un effet n\u00e9gatif sur 19 690 d\u00e9clarants c\u00e9libataires (1 % des d\u00e9clarants c\u00e9libataires) et 19 420 couples (1 % des couples) en 2026, ce qui en moyenne fera augmenter leur montant d\u2019imp\u00f4t f\u00e9d\u00e9ral \u00e0 payer de 141 $ et 155 $, respectivement."}},{"content":{"en":"Under the PIT rate reduction, adversely affected tax filers are individuals either subject to alternative minimum tax (AMT)\u2014a parallel tax calculation designed to ensure high-income earners pay a minimum amount of income tax\u2014or have taxable income and a value of non-refundable tax credits that exceed the lowest income threshold.","fr":"Dans le cadre de la r\u00e9duction du taux de l\u2019IRP, les d\u00e9clarants d\u00e9savantag\u00e9s sont soit assujettis \u00e0 l\u2019imp\u00f4t minimum de remplacement (IMR) \u2013 un calcul fiscal parall\u00e8le con\u00e7u pour que les particuliers \u00e0 revenu \u00e9lev\u00e9 paient un montant minimum d\u2019imp\u00f4t sur le revenu \u2013 ou ont un revenu imposable et une valeur de cr\u00e9dits d\u2019imp\u00f4t non remboursables qui d\u00e9passent le seuil de la premi\u00e8re tranche de revenu imposable."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO estimates that adversely affected single tax filers subject to AMT will pay an average of $127 more in federal income tax ($132 for couples) in 2026.","fr":"Le DPB estime que les d\u00e9clarants c\u00e9libataires assujettis \u00e0 l\u2019IRP qui seront d\u00e9savantag\u00e9s paieront en moyenne 127 $ de plus en imp\u00f4t f\u00e9d\u00e9ral sur le revenu (132 $ dans le cas des couples) en 2026."}},{"content":{"en":"Most adversely affected single tax filers not subject to AMT have high medical expense claims. PBO estimates they will pay an average of $166 more in federal income tax ($195 for couples) in 2026.","fr":"La plupart des d\u00e9clarants c\u00e9libataires d\u00e9savantag\u00e9s qui ne sont pas assujettis \u00e0 l\u2019AMT ont des frais m\u00e9dicaux \u00e9lev\u00e9s. Le DPB estime qu\u2019ils paieront en moyenne 166 $ de plus en imp\u00f4t f\u00e9d\u00e9ral sur le revenu (195 $ dans le cas des couples) en 2026."}},{"content":{"en":"Roughly 17 per cent of adversely affected single tax filers (35 per cent of couples) not subject to AMT claim the disability amount, though they represent less than 1 per cent of all single tax filers (less than 1 per cent for couples) claiming the disability amount.","fr":"Environ 17 % des d\u00e9clarants c\u00e9libataires d\u00e9savantag\u00e9s (35 % des couples) qui ne sont pas assujettis \u00e0 l\u2019IMR demandent le montant pour personnes handicap\u00e9es, mais ils repr\u00e9sentent moins de 1 % de l\u2019ensemble des d\u00e9clarants c\u00e9libataires qui demandent le montant pour personnes handicap\u00e9es (moins de 1 % pour les couples \u00e9galement)."}}]},"updated_at":"2025-10-30T13:11:09.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2526-015-S--individuals-adversely-affected-middle-class-tax--particuliers-desavantages-reduction-impot-classe-moyenne","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-015-S--individuals-adversely-affected-middle-class-tax--particuliers-desavantages-reduction-impot-classe-moyenne","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2526-015-S--individuals-adversely-affected-middle-class-tax--particuliers-desavantages-reduction-impot-classe-moyenne"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-015-S--individuals-adversely-affected-middle-class-tax--particuliers-desavantages-reduction-impot-classe-moyenne","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2526-015-S--individuals-adversely-affected-middle-class-tax--particuliers-desavantages-reduction-impot-classe-moyenne"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/5f323c64cefc3eed9899d10af5c6907558ab809581b0e3f1d8cbe95247983b26"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/793143c927f892a15aef12605f06895de377edd8652368942d6f768f50363b41"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e4d5a2e25414f8f01f1816734cad1593f2071476f0d8666244c634ef58e2f37f","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/111a067c2cd648f90d5ca85064be4d26b0151f69339386dbd9ee76f91dc8c81e","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/315478f766b18f752dc8f94d69e5829bb8c884c1e8fb3981b2db706a4e948e9b","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/79de936fbc9dca7132c82faa2d4e6e3c250dc988d5c890f6b13fa2a013270b6c","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/10257a9d6623b08388c8350ce6072ea3f698fa4b4935b604fb93385cc4e24ad4","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/55109a999ebc361fbbacda48c6f5f61ac83856b5ec8afa58fd00a05d701988cd","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d28e8dc9d60fc6ca3d03cce282b412cb2057762327796059cee22ef968274a34","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/64d3bcfcb24fbf0c6a138eb5421813573859e87883450ab85605f2e836d95ce5"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c139e977f031e4734f33a03f8ddc27c30183d3378624cfd369c2116c39d220ec","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4b527c0a29868433a85491c948a0031e0e919c7c8538ed435f7e94a23b40eb20","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c4d627a3a97dd6bc81bd19c89ba5c5f1fa6adf32f26ebfd3853aeac0be5480ad","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e9e06cca035ff74c2f3aa820c64daa589fbe2189a921e936f90cf7578a394d68","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/dc76cdb5b4d1b1aa85a04d93962609a0dccbe9a8698730a8598f3aafde9abfea","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/afd0ebe54f64cdce3d51f38b520de7cad38f14e1158388646d34d539f0ca14b5","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/0e0ec82ba719fa3f65179d4543891dfff8a41fc8967e739dd7166d67941bc07f","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a99875a78bdd05b3383800b495adf25e76c99a06268967d74063ab852b7aa1f3"}}},"bills":[{"id":648,"created_at":"2025-06-09T20:57:23-04:00","updated_at":"2026-02-09T08:55:56-05:00","legisid":"45_1_C-4","parliament":45,"session":1,"prefix":"C","number":4,"title_en":"An Act respecting certain affordability measures for Canadians and another measure","title_fr":"Loi concernant certaines mesures d\u0027abordabilit\u00e9 pour les Canadiens et une autre mesure","bill_num":"C-4","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/bills--projets-de-loi\/45-1\/C-4","legisinfo":"https:\/\/www.parl.ca\/legisinfo\/en\/bill\/45-1\/c-4"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/bills--projets-de-loi\/45-1\/C-4","legisinfo":"https:\/\/www.parl.ca\/LegisInfo\/fr\/projet-de-loi\/45-1\/c-4"}},"pivot":{"publication_id":868,"bill_id":648}}],"labels":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2526015S,\n author={Busby, Carleigh},\n title={Individuals adversely affected by the Middle-Class Tax Cut},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2025,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2526015S,\n author={Busby, Carleigh},\n title={Particuliers d\\\u0027{e}savantag\\\u0027{e}s par la r\\\u0027{e}duction d\u2019imp\\^{o}t pour la classe moyenne},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2025,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}}]} Show all