[{"label":"Home","url":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en"},{"label":"Staff","url":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/staff--equipe","section":{"id":1,"title_en":"About","title_fr":"\u00c0 propos"}},{"label":"Mark Creighton","url":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/staff--equipe\/mark-creighton","section":{"id":1,"title_en":"About","title_fr":"\u00c0 propos"}}]

Mark Creighton is an Analyst with the Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer.

Mark holds an MA in Economics from Queen’s University and a BA Honors Specialization in Economics from The University of Western Ontario.

Latest publications

    {"id":"RP-2223-004-C","is_published":"2022-05-18T12:57:09.000000Z","release_date":"2022-05-18T13:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-05-18T12:57:09.000000Z","type":"RP","internal_id":"RP-2223-004-C","title_en":"Research and Comparative Analysis of CIRNAC and ISC","title_fr":"RCAANC et SAC \u2013 Recherche et analyse 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report presents the PBO\u2019s response to a request by the Standing Committee on Indigenous and Northern Affairs to conduct research and comparative analysis on the Estimates of the Department of Crown-Indigenous Relations and Northern Affairs and the Department of Indigenous Services Canada.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport pr\u00e9sente la r\u00e9ponse du DPB \u00e0 la demande du Comit\u00e9 permanent des affaires autochtones et du Nord de r\u00e9aliser une recherche et une analyse comparative sur les budgets des d\u00e9penses du minist\u00e8re des Relations Couronne-Autochtones et des Affaires du Nord et du minist\u00e8re des Services aux Autochtones Canada.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"Over the 2015-2016 to 2022-2023 period there has been a significant increase in the amount of financial resources allocated to providing Indigenous services.","fr":"Au cours de la p\u00e9riode allant 2015-2016 \u00e0 2022-2023, les ressources financi\u00e8res affect\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019offre de services aux Autochtones ont beaucoup augment\u00e9."}},{"content":{"en":"This increase in expenditure did not result in a commensurate increase in the ability of the organizations to achieve the targets that they had set for themselves.","fr":"Cette augmentation des d\u00e9penses ne s\u2019est pas traduite par une augmentation proportionnelle de la capacit\u00e9 des organisations \u00e0 atteindre les objectifs qu\u2019elles s\u2019\u00e9taient fix\u00e9s."}},{"content":{"en":"Based on the qualitative review the ability of the organizations to achieve the targets that they have specified has declined.","fr":"Selon l\u2019examen qualitatif, la capacit\u00e9 des organisations \u00e0 atteindre les objectifs qu\u2019elles se sont fix\u00e9s a diminu\u00e9."}}]},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2223004C,\n author={Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark},\n title={Research and Comparative Analysis of CIRNAC and ISC},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2223004C,\n author={Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark},\n title={RCAANC et SAC - Recherche et analyse comparative},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2122-030-S","is_published":"2022-03-01T14:00:03.000000Z","release_date":"2022-03-01T14:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-03-01T14:00:03.000000Z","type":"RP","internal_id":"RP-2122-030-S","title_en":"Economic and Fiscal Outlook \u2013 March 2022","title_fr":"Perspectives \u00e9conomiques et financi\u00e8res \u2013 Mars 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report provides a baseline projection to help parliamentarians gauge potential economic and fiscal outcomes under current policy settings.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport pr\u00e9sente des pr\u00e9visions de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence pour aider les parlementaires \u00e0 \u00e9valuer les r\u00e9sultats \u00e9conomiques et budg\u00e9taires possibles en vertu des cadres d\u2019action actuels.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"PBO projects growth in the Canadian economy to rebound sharply in the second quarter and remain robust in the second half of 2022 as the reopening of the economy continues.","fr":"Le DPB pr\u00e9voit que la croissance de l\u2019\u00e9conomie canadienne reprendra nettement au cours du deuxi\u00e8me trimestre et qu\u2019elle demeurera solide durant la deuxi\u00e8me moiti\u00e9 de 2022 alors que se poursuit la r\u00e9ouverture progressive de l\u2019\u00e9conomie."}},{"content":{"en":"Based on our outlook for inflation and the output gap, PBO projects that the Bank of Canada will increase its policy interest rate by a cumulative 75 basis points, lifting its rate to 1.00 per cent by the end of 2022.","fr":"En s\u2019appuyant sur ses perspectives concernant l\u2019inflation et l\u2019\u00e9cart de production, le DPB pr\u00e9voit que la Banque du Canada va augmenter son taux directeur de 75 points de base cumulatifs, relevant le taux \u00e0 1 % d\u2019ici la fin de 2022."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO projects a budget deficit of $139.8 billion (5.6 per cent of GDP) in 2021-22 and $47.9 billion (1.8 per cent of GDP) in 2022-23. We project the federal debt-to-GDP ratio to peak at 47.7 per cent in 2021-22 and then gradually decline over the medium term to 42.3 per cent.","fr":"Le DPB pr\u00e9voit un d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire de 139,8 milliards de dollars en 2021-2022 (5,6 % du PIB) et de 47,9 milliards de dollars en 2022-2023, soit 1,8 % du PIB. Le ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale au PIB devrait atteindre un sommet \u00e0 47,7 % du PIB en 2021-2022 avant de revenir progressivement \u00e0 moyen terme \u00e0 42,3 %."}},{"content":{"en":"Due to low interest rates, the cost of servicing the federal debt reached its lowest recorded level in 2020-21 of 7.2 per cent of tax revenues. While interest rates are projected to rise, the debt service ratio will remain low, reaching 11.5 per cent of tax revenues over the medium term.","fr":"\u00c9tant donn\u00e9 les faibles taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat, le co\u00fbt de service de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale a atteint son niveau le plus bas enregistr\u00e9 en 2020-2021, \u00e0 7,2 % des recettes fiscales. Malgr\u00e9 la hausse anticip\u00e9e des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat, le ratio du service de la dette du gouvernement demeurera bas, atteignant 11,5 % des recettes fiscales \u00e0 moyen terme."}}]},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2122030S,\n author={Nahornick, Nora and Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason and Ammar, Nasreddine and Behrend, Robert and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Duncan, Krista and Forsyth, Jamie and Giswold, Jill and MacPhee, Sarah and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Segel-Brown, Ben and Sourang, Diarra and Vanderwees, Kaitlyn},\n title={Economic and Fiscal Outlook - March 2022},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2122030S,\n author={Nahornick, Nora and Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason and Ammar, Nasreddine and Behrend, Robert and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Duncan, Krista and Forsyth, Jamie and Giswold, Jill and MacPhee, Sarah and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Segel-Brown, Ben and Sourang, Diarra and Vanderwees, Kaitlyn},\n title={Perspectives \\\u0027{e}conomiques et financi\\`{e}res - Mars 2022},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2122-025-S","is_published":"2021-12-17T14:00:11.000000Z","release_date":"2021-12-17T14:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2021-12-17T14:00:11.000000Z","type":"RP","internal_id":"RP-2122-025-S","title_en":"Fiscal Analysis of Proposed Premium Reduction for Mortgage Insurance","title_fr":"Analyse financi\u00e8re du projet de baisse des primes d\u2019assurance pr\u00eat 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note provides fiscal analysis of the Government\u2019s proposal to reduce mortgage insurance premiums collected by the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC).","abstract_fr":"La pr\u00e9sente note fournit une analyse financi\u00e8re de la proposition du gouvernement de r\u00e9duire les primes d\u2019assurance pr\u00eat hypoth\u00e9caire per\u00e7ues par la Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 canadienne d\u2019hypoth\u00e8ques et de logement (SCHL).","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"The Liberal Party of Canada\u2019s 2021 electoral platform proposed a 25% decrease in the mortgage insurance premiums charged by the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) while also increasing maximum insurable sale price to $1.25 million, which is to subsequently be indexed to inflation.","fr":"Dans sa plateforme \u00e9lectorale de 2021, le Parti lib\u00e9ral du Canada a propos\u00e9 de r\u00e9duire de 25 % les primes d\u2019assurance pr\u00eat hypoth\u00e9caire exig\u00e9es par la Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 canadienne d\u2019hypoth\u00e8ques et de logement (SCHL) tout en portant \u00e0 1,25 million de dollars le prix de vente maximum assurable, montant qui doit \u00eatre index\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019inflation par la suite."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO analysis finds that the cost of this measure will be $1.4 billion over five fiscal years.","fr":"D\u2019apr\u00e8s l\u2019analyse du DPB, cette mesure co\u00fbtera 1,4 milliards de dollars sur cinq ans."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO estimates that this measure would provide the average home buyer a one-time savings of $5,341 in 2022-2023, increasing to $5,863 in 2026-2027.","fr":"Le DPB \u00e9value \u00e0 5 341 $ l\u2019\u00e9conomie ponctuelle que pourrait r\u00e9aliser l\u2019acheteur moyen en 2022-2023, \u00e9conomie qui passerait \u00e0 5 863 $ en 2026-2027."}},{"content":{"en":"Having considered alternative scenarios PBO does not anticipate that CMHC will be able to increase the number of homes it insures or its market share to the point where the policy would be revenue neutral.","fr":"Ayant examin\u00e9 d\u2019autres sc\u00e9narios, le DPB ne croit pas que la SCHL pourra augmenter le nombre des maisons qu\u2019elle assure ou sa part de march\u00e9 au point de compenser l\u2019incidence de la politique sur les recettes."}}]},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2122025S,\n author={Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Perrault, Louis},\n title={Fiscal Analysis of Proposed Premium Reduction for Mortgage Insurance},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2021,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2122025S,\n author={Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Perrault, Louis},\n title={Analyse financi\\`{e}re du projet de baisse des primes d\u2019assurance pr\\^{e}t hypoth\\\u0027{e}caire},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2021,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} 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Government of Canada proposes to spend $38.5 million over 2 years to train 4,000 personal support workers through a 6-week accelerated online program and an accompanying 4-month internship.","abstract_fr":"Le gouvernement du Canada propose de d\u00e9penser 38,5 millions de dollars sur deux ans pour assurer la formation de 4 000 pr\u00e9pos\u00e9s aux b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiaires dans le cadre d\u2019un programme de formation acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9e en ligne de six semaines assorties d\u2019un stage de quatre mois.","highlights":null},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-LEG2021064M,\n author={Creighton, Mark},\n title={Financial support for training 4,000 personal support workers},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2021,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-LEG2021064M,\n author={Creighton, Mark},\n title={Aide financi\\`{e}re pour la formation de 4 000 pr\\\u0027{e}pos\\\u0027{e}s aux b\\\u0027{e}n\\\u0027{e}ficiaires},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2021,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"LEG-2021-050-S","is_published":"2021-01-26T20:16:02.000000Z","release_date":"2020-12-16T14:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2021-01-26T20:16:02.000000Z","type":"LEG","internal_id":"LEG-2021-050-S","title_en":"Supporting Jobs and Safe Operations of Junior Mining Companies","title_fr":"Appuyer les emplois et les activit\u00e9s s\u00e9curitaires dans le secteur des petites soci\u00e9t\u00e9s d\u2019exploration mini\u00e8re","slug":"LEG-2021-050-S--supporting-jobs-safe-operations-junior-mining-companies--appuyer-emplois-activites-securitaires-dans-secteur-petites-societes-exploration-miniere","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/LEG-2021-050-S--supporting-jobs-safe-operations-junior-mining-companies--appuyer-emplois-activites-securitaires-dans-secteur-petites-societes-exploration-miniere","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/LEG-2021-050-S--supporting-jobs-safe-operations-junior-mining-companies--appuyer-emplois-activites-securitaires-dans-secteur-petites-societes-exploration-miniere"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/LEG-2021-050-S--supporting-jobs-safe-operations-junior-mining-companies--appuyer-emplois-activites-securitaires-dans-secteur-petites-societes-exploration-miniere","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/LEG-2021-050-S--supporting-jobs-safe-operations-junior-mining-companies--appuyer-emplois-activites-securitaires-dans-secteur-petites-societes-exploration-miniere"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/07653c68604e3c2f1bc209718422185253df3c566899b84bb927339f37923828"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/3a57a883c6f90b5df1a6472184a40c6fab8d9fda888cfdaed5727be7753de2f0"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c5199a0dd5d8ada8cf24e64a702460ce2aaa58b9","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e38ca6314d74a3f543bf1662be68a0f87d39b87a","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/6414d0fddb32548727f865e5968ec47cdb4896c3","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/7db2bf0713c61475b834684141b4d6e94bc2361b","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3f853d1b1d049a9e99352749c939a6cf00ed7799","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a0d742763b40959de803ee2af7a13c673c640179","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f990497966cc64a4fc0350de8a137d27ef00f7a9","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b14111a8ae882167a993a6ea121dc0bf0a8ebd80"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/51256997cffc4d59d9951a28670bcae69a34205c","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2847298fbf7170693aded7c08d498cea3649abbb","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/aa46d9eddd42b08f3995542c483ce7df070d00e2","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3ff7957e7d2da5ac7ed862277142d95b94f8b59c","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a04706f375c9032bc7743087ea8ee8e2b0361c72","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d2353c1cebcdcd3071561ab93ae7f2f81a09d9e9","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b22f2d55b389cdac76056cf9bd444685aba3e86c","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/7ba44080d71b1cb2122269a36e0f7a2236d53f3f"}}},"metadata":{"abstract_en":"This policy extends the period that junior mining exploration companies and other issuers of flow through shares (FTS) have to spend the capital raised through the use of FTS agreements by an additional 12 months. This policy applies to FTS agreements that were entered into to fund Canadian exploration expenditures (CEE) using the general rule after March 2018 and before the end of 2020 or, in the case of the look-back rule, in 2019 and 2020. The policy provides an additional 12 months for firms to incur eligible CEE before losing the tax benefits tied to the FTS or having to pay fines associated with failing to incur expenses within the time frame specified by the agreement.\n\nPBO estimates that the net cost of the policy will be $32.5 million from 2019-2020 to 2021-2022.","abstract_fr":"La pr\u00e9sente politique vise \u00e0 prolonger de 12 mois le d\u00e9lai accord\u00e9 aux petites soci\u00e9t\u00e9s d\u2019exploration mini\u00e8re et aux autres \u00e9metteurs d\u2019actions accr\u00e9ditives (AA) pour d\u00e9penser le capital lev\u00e9 au titre de conventions d\u2019\u00e9mission d\u2019AA. Elle s\u2019applique aux conventions conclues pour financer les frais d\u2019exploration au Canada (FEC) en vertu de la r\u00e8gle g\u00e9n\u00e9rale apr\u00e8s mars 2018 et avant la fin de 2020 ou en vertu de la r\u00e8gle du retour en arri\u00e8re en 2019 et en 2020. Elle accorde aux soci\u00e9t\u00e9s 12 mois de plus pour engager les FEC admissibles avant de perdre les avantages fiscaux associ\u00e9s aux AA ou de payer les amendes impos\u00e9es faute d\u2019avoir engag\u00e9 les frais dans le d\u00e9lai prescrit dans la convention.\n\nLe DPB estime le co\u00fbt net total de cette politique \u00e0 32,5 millions de dollars de 2019-2020 \u00e0 2021-2022.","highlights":null},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-LEG2021050S,\n author={Creighton, Mark},\n title={Supporting Jobs and Safe Operations of Junior Mining Companies},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2020,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-LEG2021050S,\n author={Creighton, Mark},\n title={Appuyer les emplois et les activit\\\u0027{e}s s\\\u0027{e}curitaires dans le secteur des petites soci\\\u0027{e}t\\\u0027{e}s d\u2019exploration mini\\`{e}re},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2020,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}}