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Revisions to the private sector economic outlook and fiscal developments in the Fall Economic Statement lower the outlook for the budgetary balance by $18.7 billion (or $3.7 billion per year, on average) over 2023-24 to 2027 28 relative to Budget 2023.
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The Government announced $23.6 billion in new spending that was partially offset by $2.9 billion in “refocusing and reallocation” spending measures. On a net basis, new measures further reduce the budgetary balance by $20.7 billion (or $3.4 billion per year, on average) over 2023-24 to 2028-29.
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The Fall Economic Statement expands on the Budget 2023 commitment to refocus government spending, with the goal to identify an additional $2.4 billion in savings over 2025-26 to 2028-29. In addition, the Government intends to reallocate $0.5 billion in originally planned spending.
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There is currently little information available on the status of $15.4 billion in Budget 2023 spending reviews and the additional $2.4 billion in savings announced in the Fall Economic Statement. Further, there is currently no publicly available information related to the $3.6 billion in spending to be reallocated in 2023-24.
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Since Budget 2021, the Government has projected a total of $212.8 billion in new fiscal room. Essentially all of this fiscal room has now been exhausted through increased spending (on a net basis), with only $0.5 billion used to reduce the deficit (on a cumulative basis). Of the $212.8 billion in new fiscal room, $188.8 billion (89 per cent) has been used to finance new non-COVID 19 measures over 2021-22 to 2028-29.
