[{"label":"Accueil","url":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr"},{"label":"Carrefours","url":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/hubs--carrefours"},{"label":"Plans et cibles climatiques","url":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/hubs--carrefours\/climate-plans-and-targets--plans-et-cibles-climatiques"}]
Carrefour

Plans et cibles climatiques

Le DPB fournit de manière indépendante des analyses sur les plans climatiques et les cibles de réduction des gaz à effet de serre du gouvernement du Canada, ainsi que des analyses sur les impacts des changements climatiques. Le carrefour Plans et cibles climatiques regroupe les travaux du DPB sur ces questions.
{"id":"RP-2324-004-S","is_published":"2023-05-18T12:57:08.000000Z","release_date":"2023-05-18T13:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2023-05-18T16:34:04.000000Z","type":"RP","internal_id":"RP-2324-004-S","title_en":"A Distributional Analysis of the Clean Fuel Regulations","title_fr":"Analyse distributive du R\u00e8glement sur les combustibles propres","slug":"RP-2324-004-S--distributional-analysis-clean-fuel-regulations--analyse-distributive-reglement-combustibles-propres","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2324-004-S--distributional-analysis-clean-fuel-regulations--analyse-distributive-reglement-combustibles-propres","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2324-004-S--distributional-analysis-clean-fuel-regulations--analyse-distributive-reglement-combustibles-propres"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2324-004-S--distributional-analysis-clean-fuel-regulations--analyse-distributive-reglement-combustibles-propres","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2324-004-S--distributional-analysis-clean-fuel-regulations--analyse-distributive-reglement-combustibles-propres"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/e884599e101a53a3388d8c69884637f349b215fa483ca0089301ecb897da02b1"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/c7503c62a679d722ee6e443d309a86de395ac92a3ae238164c90141698d33202"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/53b337aecf5fe95d429aa98a2b7d3680d6dcab74eff180d6a1516e124d7dbae1","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/6d83eb94ae4c7de71b61e2fb5a867b72b24c7d16b29a021d591d698ed8974bb3","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/6413d6221bb93183a27e45a596792f81bb87e22616eba09343bcb0d6ed0656c1","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5fe5853c4feab2a1ee21e0ca5c03b48119dc94c61be31caf213f4ca32908c8d2","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/220c15f4e4dc37527a0e91324af086dd6337a8cd26cf16570ace9405f7359a3d","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/57fd1d292ac51d4c6265d5428437f00c6f3e50ed58248acefc42590f8b9e3c2a","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d840a8f1715ad48d359f92a2640d35ab06b4409b0d42765f242485b8e148ca8e","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2ad1800901f276669ea6500f7c4f5ddba85621821399eff096e3a0fe112f8bc3"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8dac949c1533b36ff5b1d241c7444b5a11011e9f918388e0d14e17be8ab8738f","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5b2e36c26bc1a4dd9e49b26264eb6750a391ca37812dbe70822c9eb207363afa","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f65b0a135e8b751619fdf150e3bf7d01a43b348b1d0021d69fce81da6b3644a5","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8d0733478a592fbf44a8f7889132b379d09addfce24734fa325f37233ffbb215","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/fdd28eadf2a8471b5f71bf95a78276e47a011c7fa0c44a24cd54b6c59d04c444","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/0118e89c94c35b14ba3cfd6828dd3d200556beffec13f04194b1ccf47bc4032f","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/92c435cd052789f5b39c1fbac228236a79060b510c58d3a417e94d87a00ef06a","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/151a668b134f18e08696652cb7147ba845f5518531f1fa9e22e8d78f5f0630b5"}}},"metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides a distributional analysis of the Clean Fuel Regulations that will require reductions in the carbon intensity of gasoline and diesel used in Canada.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport pr\u00e9sente une analyse distributive du R\u00e8glement sur les combustibles propres qui exigera de r\u00e9duire l\u2019intensit\u00e9 carbone de l\u2019essence et du diesel utilis\u00e9s au Canada.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"Relative to household disposable income, PBO results show that the Clean Fuel Regulations are broadly regressive. That is, the cost to lower income households represents a larger share of their disposable income compared to higher income households.","fr":"Par rapport au revenu disponible des m\u00e9nages, les r\u00e9sultats du DPB indiquent que le R\u00e8glement sur les combustibles propres est g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement r\u00e9gressif. Autrement dit, le co\u00fbt pour les m\u00e9nages \u00e0 faible revenu repr\u00e9sente une proportion plus importante de leur revenu disponible que pour les m\u00e9nages \u00e0 revenu \u00e9lev\u00e9."}},{"content":{"en":"At the national level, in 2030, the cost of the Clean Fuel Regulations to households ranges from 0.62 per cent of disposable income (or $231) for lower income households to 0.35 per cent of disposable income (or $1,008) for higher income households.","fr":"\u00c0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle nationale, en 2030, le co\u00fbt du R\u00e8glement sur les combustibles propres pour les m\u00e9nages va de 0,62 % du revenu disponible (ou 231 $) pour les m\u00e9nages \u00e0 faible revenu \u00e0 0,35 % du revenu disponible (ou 1 008 $) pour les m\u00e9nages \u00e0 revenu \u00e9lev\u00e9."}},{"content":{"en":"Relative to disposable income, the cost of the Clean Fuel Regulations to the average household in 2030 is the highest in Saskatchewan (0.87 per cent, or $1,117), Alberta (0.80 per cent, or $1,157) and Newfoundland and Labrador (0.80 per cent, or $850), reflecting the higher fossil fuel intensity of their economies.","fr":"Par rapport au revenu disponible, c\u2019est en Saskatchewan (0,87 % ou 1 117 $), en Alberta (0,80 % ou 1 157 $) et \u00e0 Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador (0,80 % ou 850 $) que le co\u00fbt du R\u00e8glement sur les combustibles propres pour le m\u00e9nage moyen en 2030 est le plus \u00e9lev\u00e9, ce qui refl\u00e8te l\u2019intensit\u00e9 des combustibles fossiles plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e de leurs \u00e9conomies."}},{"content":{"en":"Relative to disposable income, the cost of the Clean Fuel Regulations to the average household in 2030 is the lowest in British Columbia (0.28 per cent, or $384), reflecting the relatively muted impact on real GDP. That said, the cost to the average household in Ontario (0.35 per cent, or $495) and Quebec (0.39 per cent, or $436) is only modestly larger.","fr":"Par rapport au revenu disponible, c\u2019est en Colombie-Britannique (0,28 % ou 384 $) que le co\u00fbt du R\u00e8glement sur les combustibles propres pour le m\u00e9nage moyen en 2030 est le plus bas, ce qui refl\u00e8te l\u2019incidence relativement faible sur le PIB r\u00e9el. Cela dit, le co\u00fbt pour le m\u00e9nage moyen en Ontario (0,35 % ou 495 $) et au Qu\u00e9bec (0,39 % ou 436 $) n\u2019est que modestement plus \u00e9lev\u00e9."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO estimates are based, in part, on data underlying the Regulatory Impact Analysis Statement provided by Environment and Climate Change Canada from their upper bound fuel price scenario. Consequently, PBO estimates should be regarded as upper bound estimates.","fr":"Les estimations du DPB se fondent en partie sur les donn\u00e9es qui sous-tendent le R\u00e9sum\u00e9 de l\u2019\u00e9tude d\u2019impact de la r\u00e9glementation pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 par Environnement et Changement climatique Canada pour son sc\u00e9nario de limite sup\u00e9rieure d\u2019augmentation des prix des combustibles. Par cons\u00e9quent, les estimations du DPB devraient \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9es comme des estimations de limite sup\u00e9rieure."}}]},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2324004S,\n author={Ammar, Nasreddine and Laurin, Marianne and Bagnoli, Philip and Scholz, Tim and Sourang, Diarra},\n title={A Distributional Analysis of the Clean Fuel Regulations},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2023,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2324004S,\n author={Ammar, Nasreddine and Laurin, Marianne and Bagnoli, Philip and Scholz, Tim and Sourang, Diarra},\n title={Analyse distributive du R\\`{e}glement sur les combustibles propres},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2023,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2223-028-S","is_published":"2023-03-30T12:57:03.000000Z","release_date":"2023-03-30T13:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2023-03-30T12:57:03.000000Z","type":"RP","internal_id":"RP-2223-028-S","title_en":"A Distributional Analysis of the Federal Fuel Charge under the 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan","title_fr":"Analyse distributive de la redevance f\u00e9d\u00e9rale sur les combustibles dans le cadre du Plan de r\u00e9duction des \u00e9missions pour 2030","slug":"RP-2223-028-S--distributional-analysis-federal-fuel-charge-under-2030-emissions-reduction-plan--analyse-distributive-redevance-federale-combustibles-dans-cadre-plan-reduction-emissions-2030","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2223-028-S--distributional-analysis-federal-fuel-charge-under-2030-emissions-reduction-plan--analyse-distributive-redevance-federale-combustibles-dans-cadre-plan-reduction-emissions-2030","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2223-028-S--distributional-analysis-federal-fuel-charge-under-2030-emissions-reduction-plan--analyse-distributive-redevance-federale-combustibles-dans-cadre-plan-reduction-emissions-2030"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2223-028-S--distributional-analysis-federal-fuel-charge-under-2030-emissions-reduction-plan--analyse-distributive-redevance-federale-combustibles-dans-cadre-plan-reduction-emissions-2030","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2223-028-S--distributional-analysis-federal-fuel-charge-under-2030-emissions-reduction-plan--analyse-distributive-redevance-federale-combustibles-dans-cadre-plan-reduction-emissions-2030"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/7590f619bb5d3b769ce09bdbc7c1ccce75ccd8b1bcfb506fc601a2409640bfdd"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/8886610d24c9ee4390e968a2fc6e736e1016819bc3e80cd58e04c6ab8400f977"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/471920ac275b376b60f56d6b1b326b4cfe0e12284d11c63107330b6849d58dd1","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d02dbc43dd7750d74fed9ac98cf33bb72573b1a18df0389a4740f42c3781bed0","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d82a6aa209b13f8e3b43fdb9aa5e0f8984a3ec69249f0b3bc146ea7971c500a8","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cfe2592f35d4b1b4a4891e1fb7a4d0469c4a5577b8be2e6000494831f511df48","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/1713f7167294999c082ce16caca1029f4839366e52571ea4667e02e87e48acc3","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e00001e6e531b2ba40a301660e1b36d4190b9870c7def88ae3c23a3c01467ef8","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/dc13132b2188a7aab762b1934e28433aeee1ebd37919418a119b73c0072542fe","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f23ee4b0ef3a3a0c125497354a9978ba1f7adb4053f95c0af9c27cf879d531f9"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/65a774a7cada818a04fb27f93cf5d4652b5a4d196a341d42ded210f6901cf54d","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/21faa2ba702f6ba09eae4dad5a89c7876e03bbe9be61949995edb3a8c3d8b355","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f61c5f2415685a2ff51e66d385c5cb8e75b9c1c67f148ea2a5c83daf1ec18a30","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8b2497f5c8533ec6a362177c9574218777552e1f067e5bd421185ecd28f04a72","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/18851aac0f219f5e8ce813792130a582dfce0aec916281fad2404988b82abb38","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e6707a2e4f674b9d20f076743311e400bc6be7e07961fd6c8de874028df1aac8","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d6c9b936b9a3e13e709c65a6785ae4c14ead7ad7ce4dbc93f349fd2d8bcd4a06","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/04b42764fc7ff98968c3424f47cc2ebef9a8339033e0d7a9fce1f62d105d6e03"}}},"metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides a distributional analysis of the federal fuel charge under the Government\u2019s 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport pr\u00e9sente une analyse distributive de la redevance f\u00e9d\u00e9rale sur les combustibles dans le cadre du Plan de r\u00e9duction des \u00e9missions du Canada pour 2030.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"Under the Government\u2019s 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan, the federal fuel charge is set to rise from $65 per tonne of carbon dioxide equivalent in 2023-24 to $170 per tonne in 2030-31.","fr":"Selon le Plan de r\u00e9duction des \u00e9missions du Canada pour 2030, la redevance f\u00e9d\u00e9rale sur les combustibles doit passer de 65 $ la tonne d\u2019\u00e9quivalent en dioxyde de carbone en 2023-2024 \u00e0 170 $ la tonne en 2030-2031."}},{"content":{"en":"In 2023-24, the federal fuel charge will be expanded to include Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, and Newfoundland and Labrador. The federal fuel charge will continue to apply to Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba and Ontario.","fr":"En 2023-2024, la redevance f\u00e9d\u00e9rale sur les combustibles sera \u00e9tendue \u00e0 la Nouvelle-\u00c9cosse, \u00e0 l\u2019\u00cele-du-Prince-\u00c9douard et \u00e0 Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador. La redevance continuera de s\u2019appliquer \u00e0 l\u2019Alberta, \u00e0 la Saskatchewan, au Manitoba et \u00e0 l\u2019Ontario."}},{"content":{"en":"When both fiscal and economic impacts of the federal fuel charge are considered, we estimate that most households will see a net loss, paying more in fuel charges and GST, as well as receiving lower incomes, compared to the Climate Action Incentive payments they receive and lower personal income taxes they pay.","fr":"Selon nos estimations, si l\u2019on tient compte des r\u00e9percussions \u00e0 la fois financi\u00e8res et \u00e9conomiques de la redevance f\u00e9d\u00e9rale sur les combustibles, la plupart des m\u00e9nages enregistreront une perte nette, en payant davantage des sommes plus \u00e9lev\u00e9es en redevances sur les combustibles et en TPS, et en percevant des revenus plus faibles en comparaison des paiements de l\u2019incitatif \u00e0 agir pour le climat qu\u2019ils re\u00e7oivent et de la baisse d\u2019imp\u00f4t sur le revenu des particuliers qu\u2019ils acquittent."}},{"content":{"en":"However, relative to disposable income, our estimates of household net cost of the federal fuel charge show a progressive impact that is, larger net costs for higher income households.","fr":"Cependant, en proportion du revenu disponible, nos estimations du co\u00fbt net pour les m\u00e9nages de la redevance f\u00e9d\u00e9rale sur les combustibles indiquent une incidence progressive, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire des co\u00fbts nets sup\u00e9rieurs pour les m\u00e9nages \u00e0 revenu \u00e9lev\u00e9."}},{"content":{"en":"In 2023-24, with the federal fuel charge set at $65 per tonne, we estimate that the Government will collect and return $11.8 billion in fuel charges in the seven provinces where the charge applies. With the charge rising to $170 per tonne in 2030-31, we project that the Government will collect and return $25.0 billion in fuel charges.","fr":"En 2023-2024, avec une redevance f\u00e9d\u00e9rale sur les combustibles de 65 $ la tonne, le gouvernement devrait percevoir et remettre 11,8 milliards de dollars de la redevance sur les combustibles dans les sept provinces o\u00f9 elle s\u2019applique. Quand la redevance passera \u00e0 170 $ la tonne en 2030-2031, il devrait percevoir et remettre 25 milliards de dollars."}}]},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2223028S,\n author={Ammar, Nasreddine and Laurin, Marianne and Sourang, Diarra},\n title={A Distributional Analysis of the Federal Fuel Charge under the 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2023,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2223028S,\n author={Ammar, Nasreddine and Laurin, Marianne and Sourang, Diarra},\n title={Analyse distributive de la redevance f\\\u0027{e}d\\\u0027{e}rale sur les combustibles dans le cadre du Plan de r\\\u0027{e}duction des \\\u0027{e}missions pour 2030},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2023,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2223-015-S","is_published":"2022-11-08T14:57:02.000000Z","release_date":"2022-11-08T15:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-11-08T14:57:02.000000Z","type":"RP","internal_id":"RP-2223-015-S","title_en":"Global greenhouse gas emissions and Canadian GDP","title_fr":"Les \u00e9missions mondiales de gaz \u00e0 effet de serre et le PIB 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report examines the long-term impact on the Canadian economy of changing weather patterns due to climate change.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport examine l\u2019incidence \u00e0 long terme sur l\u2019\u00e9conomie canadienne de la modification des tendances m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques li\u00e9e au changement climatique.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"Our analysis indicates that the 0.9-degree Celsius average increase in surface temperature and 2.5 per cent increase in average precipitation observed for Canada over 1981 to 2021 (relative to 1961-1990 reference levels), have lowered the level of Canadian real GDP in 2021 by 0.8 per cent (or $20 billion in 2021 dollars).","fr":"Notre analyse indique que l\u2019augmentation de 0,9 \u00b0C de la temp\u00e9rature moyenne en surface et l\u2019augmentation de 2,5 % des pr\u00e9cipitations moyenne observ\u00e9es de 1981 \u00e0 2021 au Canada (par rapport \u00e0 la moyenne pour 1961 1990), ont r\u00e9duit le niveau du PIB r\u00e9el canadien de 0,8 % en 2021 (soit 20 milliards, en dollars de 2021)."}},{"content":{"en":"Under our benchmark global greenhouse gas emissions scenario in which countries across the world fully meet their climate commitments, we estimate that higher temperatures and precipitation will reduce Canada\u2019s real GDP by 5.8 per cent in 2100, compared to a counterfactual scenario where climate variables remain at their average levels observed over 1961 to 1990. For perspective, in 2021, 5.8 per cent of GDP amounts to $145 billion (in 2021 dollars). In 2100, the economy will be substantially larger and therefore the estimated impact in dollar terms would be correspondingly larger.","fr":"Selon notre sc\u00e9nario de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence pour les \u00e9missions de gaz \u00e0 effet de serre, dans lequel les pays respectent int\u00e9gralement leurs engagements climatiques, nous estimons que l\u2019augmentation des temp\u00e9ratures et des pr\u00e9cipitations r\u00e9duira le PIB r\u00e9el du Canada de 5,8 % d\u2019ici 2100, par rapport \u00e0 un sc\u00e9nario hypoth\u00e9tique selon lequel les variables climatiques restent aux niveaux observ\u00e9s entre 1961 et 1990. \u00c0 titre illustratif, en 2021, 5,8 % du PIB repr\u00e9sentait 145 milliards de dollars (en dollars de 2021). En 2100, l\u0027\u00e9conomie sera nettement plus vaste et l\u0027impact estim\u00e9 en dollars sera donc d\u0027autant plus important."}},{"content":{"en":"We estimate that 2.4 percentage points of the 5.8 per cent impact in 2100 stems from the continuation of recent changes in weather patterns due to climate change while the remaining 3.6-percentage point impact is from future changes to weather patterns.","fr":"Nous estimons que 2,4 points de pourcentage sur l\u2019incidence de 5,8 % en 2100 est attribuable au prolongement des modifications r\u00e9centes dans les tendances m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques en raison du changement climatique, alors que les 3,6 points de pourcentage restants sont attribuables aux variations futures des tendences m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques."}},{"content":{"en":"If instead global policies remain closer to current settings\u2014and global climate commitments are not met\u2014we estimate that the level of Canadian real GDP in 2100 would be approximately three-quarters of a percentage point lower compared to our benchmark global emissions scenario.","fr":"En revanche, si les politiques mondiales restent pratiquement semblables \u00e0 ce qu\u2019elles sont actuellement \u2013 et que les engagements climatiques mondiaux ne sont pas respect\u00e9s \u2013 nous estimons que le niveau du PIB r\u00e9el canadien en 2100 serait d\u2019environ 0,75 point de pourcentage inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 ce que pr\u00e9voit notre sc\u00e9nario de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence pour les \u00e9missions mondiales."}}]},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2223015S,\n author={Bagnoli, Philip and Scholz, Tim and Ammar, Nasreddine and Duncan, Krista and Perrault, Louis},\n title={Global greenhouse gas emissions and Canadian GDP},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2223015S,\n author={Bagnoli, Philip and Scholz, Tim and Ammar, Nasreddine and Duncan, Krista and Perrault, Louis},\n title={Les \\\u0027{e}missions mondiales de gaz \\`{a} effet de serre et le PIB canadien},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2122-032-S","is_published":"2022-03-24T13:00:01.000000Z","release_date":"2022-03-24T13:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-03-24T13:00:01.000000Z","type":"RP","internal_id":"RP-2122-032-S","title_en":"A Distributional Analysis of Federal Carbon Pricing under A Healthy Environment and A Healthy Economy","title_fr":"Une analyse distributive de la tarification f\u00e9d\u00e9rale du carbone dans le cadre du plan \u00ab Un environnement sain et une \u00e9conomie saine \u00bb","slug":"RP-2122-032-S--distributional-analysis-federal-carbon-pricing-under-healthy-environment-healthy-economy--une-analyse-distributive-tarification-federale-carbone-dans-cadre-plan-un-environnement-sain-une-eco","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2122-032-S--distributional-analysis-federal-carbon-pricing-under-healthy-environment-healthy-economy--une-analyse-distributive-tarification-federale-carbone-dans-cadre-plan-un-environnement-sain-une-eco","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2122-032-S--distributional-analysis-federal-carbon-pricing-under-healthy-environment-healthy-economy--une-analyse-distributive-tarification-federale-carbone-dans-cadre-plan-un-environnement-sain-une-eco"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2122-032-S--distributional-analysis-federal-carbon-pricing-under-healthy-environment-healthy-economy--une-analyse-distributive-tarification-federale-carbone-dans-cadre-plan-un-environnement-sain-une-eco","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2122-032-S--distributional-analysis-federal-carbon-pricing-under-healthy-environment-healthy-economy--une-analyse-distributive-tarification-federale-carbone-dans-cadre-plan-un-environnement-sain-une-eco"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/6399abff7887b53208a1e97cfb397801ea9f4e729c15dfb85998d1eb359ea5c7"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/4dee5e1a1e2c2e1b08a83cb76568cdcae2f520ca0c2a5fb9ffc1ef0f9e1b0efc"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8db8f49ad11c1e52c66a5835d50d52e5c8d259cee64c7d0a772800d4f4059f55","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ab7349515c1227f20760be771d4b6104e941c17bb435e8a321c0098364f3aaf5","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/fa43c75b696587fed0e7db15b8989918616612d6b6d1f086a63a6581e1559427","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8ffa5503b879f25badafaf40d3a8aa19c860ded3603b6cbc74b97941b7faba63","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4c8601a6ee7523923cc76dad0757aec9313fb9d844ffac91735ffda310f77e39","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f4d92277baa5464feccfe18c516285593c2e8b93fa82812712ff80dce3e71c57","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/7dda017c4fc10410b761d9d374d8d2b42e006b4f50cd9fa5513315a94b338723","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ce85235453c99e367089e8600e03f34c0d8135fd891d664a2a8ea60053f41b62"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f76062665173fea78678d58a9c902ec1141ed546aeca70e9c7b21a4b075e7c9b","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/1e183ff6c1a06d40cf7b2aec1a92c71bac3be82bc91a781a92f0387c501d60a7","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/fdd583ccf32d83aaa4af73d537c6b394953df21c182e7c0c4ca3dbb2958a719d","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/78de16a86f06487fd72b5d00b68ecaab42f139ff14efde795d9a8ff80f197d41","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/499ee1da44201b305266118cc3f2206878d49b5755086efa1e27f1f9dc8d9c84","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e3e6a3b18c1e209c29c6aa2f21f75377f7b56435045660ca38919b5614153ddf","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3bc84094812e4fcf174d22e9d306a578ef8b450b98f79640566ee053e5fe5e4f","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/df7dae0058f06c2aa6988615b11c583a051e96aca003f84933097b1256c8f12f"}}},"metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides a distributional analysis of federal carbon pricing under the Government\u2019s A Healthy Environment and A Healthy Economy plan.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport fournit une analyse distributive de la tarification f\u00e9d\u00e9rale du carbone dans le cadre du plan du gouvernement intitul\u00e9 \u00ab Un environnement sain et une \u00e9conomie saine \u00bb.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"Under the Government\u2019s A Healthy Environment and A Healthy Economy (HEHE) climate plan, the federal carbon levy is set to rise by $15 per year from $50 per tonne in 2022 until it reaches $170 per tonne in 2030.","fr":"Dans le cadre du plan climatique du gouvernement intitul\u00e9 Un environnement sain et une \u00e9conomie saine (plan climatique), la taxe f\u00e9d\u00e9rale sur le carbone devrait augmenter de 15 dollars par ann\u00e9e, passant de 50 dollars par tonne en 2022 \u00e0 170 dollars par tonne en 2030."}},{"content":{"en":"When losses in economic efficiency are added to fiscal impacts of federal carbon pricing, the net carbon cost increases for all households in Ontario, Manitoba, Saskatchewan and Alberta.","fr":"Lorsque les pertes d\u2019efficacit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique sont ajout\u00e9es aux incidences fiscales de la tarification f\u00e9d\u00e9rale du carbone, le co\u00fbt net du carbone augmente pour tous les m\u00e9nages de l\u2019Ontario, du Manitoba, de la Saskatchewan et de l\u2019Alberta."}},{"content":{"en":"Most households in provinces under the backstop will see a net loss resulting from federal carbon pricing under the HEHE plan. That is, household carbon costs will exceed the Climate Action Incentive payments households receive.","fr":"La plupart des m\u00e9nages des provinces o\u00f9 le filet de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 s\u2019applique subiront une perte nette r\u00e9sultant de la tarification f\u00e9d\u00e9rale du carbone dans le cadre du plan climatique. C\u2019est-\u00e0-dire que le co\u00fbt du carbone pour les m\u00e9nages sera sup\u00e9rieur aux paiements de l\u2019incitatif \u00e0 agir pour le climat que les m\u00e9nages re\u00e7oivent."}},{"content":{"en":"Relative to disposable income, our estimates of household net carbon costs continue to show a progressive impact that is, larger net costs for higher income households.","fr":"En ce qui concerne le revenu disponible, nos estimations des co\u00fbts nets du carbone pour les m\u00e9nages continuent de montrer une incidence progressive, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire des co\u00fbts nets plus importants pour les m\u00e9nages \u00e0 revenu \u00e9lev\u00e9."}},{"content":{"en":"We estimate that carbon pricing under HEHE will reduce the budgetary balance (increase the budgetary deficit) by $0.9 billion in 2021-22 and ultimately by $5.2 billion in 2030-31.","fr":"Nous estimons que la tarification du carbone dans le cadre du plan Un environnement sain et une \u00e9conomie saine r\u00e9duira le solde budg\u00e9taire (augmentera le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire) de 0,9 milliard de dollars en 2021-2022 et, \u00e0 terme, de 5,2 milliards de dollars en 2030-2031."}}]},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2122032S,\n author={Ammar, Nasreddine and Bagnoli, Philip and Duncan, Krista and Scholz, Tim},\n title={A Distributional Analysis of Federal Carbon Pricing under A Healthy Environment and A Healthy Economy},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2122032S,\n author={Ammar, Nasreddine and Bagnoli, Philip and Duncan, Krista and Scholz, Tim},\n title={Une analyse distributive de la tarification f\\\u0027{e}d\\\u0027{e}rale du carbone dans le cadre du plan \u00ab Un environnement sain et une \\\u0027{e}conomie saine \u00bb},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2122-009-S","is_published":"2021-06-23T15:30:07.000000Z","release_date":"2021-06-23T15:30:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2021-06-23T15:30:07.000000Z","type":"RP","internal_id":"RP-2122-009-S","title_en":"Beyond Paris: Reducing Canada\u2019s GHG Emissions by 2030","title_fr":"Au-del\u00e0 de Paris : R\u00e9duire les \u00e9missions de gaz \u00e0 effet de serre du Canada d\u2019ici 2030","slug":"RP-2122-009-S--beyond-paris-reducing-canada-ghg-emissions-2030--dela-paris-reduire-emissions-gaz-effet-serre-canada-ici-2030","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2122-009-S--beyond-paris-reducing-canada-ghg-emissions-2030--dela-paris-reduire-emissions-gaz-effet-serre-canada-ici-2030","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2122-009-S--beyond-paris-reducing-canada-ghg-emissions-2030--dela-paris-reduire-emissions-gaz-effet-serre-canada-ici-2030"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2122-009-S--beyond-paris-reducing-canada-ghg-emissions-2030--dela-paris-reduire-emissions-gaz-effet-serre-canada-ici-2030","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2122-009-S--beyond-paris-reducing-canada-ghg-emissions-2030--dela-paris-reduire-emissions-gaz-effet-serre-canada-ici-2030"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/1df9b64ac4e1885028a02c05d5f15b82622d3ace28a473159d59301fb636c6e3"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/22061676acc9e957b233a2a04fe26600615b268c7ca51cf2402d79c74a3fa040"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/80a95fadee6057ca2973dbb430b3f84c46ab4aecf579ef3e19f01787d91d6500","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b8b451930e5eda6e2b373952fa49e6eaf3fc0e02997d67145e531c60895e03c8","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a8eecf6b395d1e614e9c33c3392e4a6134e91c4da94487108598595be184f702","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/347a11de35153b45774a1db94f55250d50e8ca543a6e9417363ba690ebde5e46","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/dac2c0c629c5570cc779eb1d661b75bc240b12eaaf1924b6a2b82ae8a024abda","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2d51dececcf712b23eab4dea50fa23ad1a89ac69ab8158c183c25f6d5896c79f","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/137d3ed8c44f213ae3f0b9480066ca24b084a5ce4e9daa781c134774aa42e754","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e090c9212d0923f872099a607e0ac07ec3d2b77c72dd64f62f5f635886b3a40e"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5aa452a5d9eaa157fdd3c256db4a2286e09a591ffd650988aea706f5a556b034","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/290a8be04f0c1d3dc06cdc2963121c892f032d98f63298028e310bc984fca7e9","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/84cba6ed416f3553807940698cb15587416cce2dbf17ceb042b98ae6f15a75c1","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3358ee6a96dc24e62ffa9b295df135f02e90597ec110971c725426367ac35598","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e203f0a35576d24eda8e48f500602294bf7a41dcdcfcc985e5f82125dec4b3a3","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/73c9515920ef009ae461f54fd32eb4812def3ae8de037da94d7fb1b293fa26f3","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/08c05c4de6ae8fe33ac2893cee141274a502410649345d1f5d7d03beb335c732","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ba16733314d5dfd083c05e3fa08ac1e3a143ff087d8448a6edb35253430baa24"}}},"metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report assesses the impacts of the Government\u2019s plan to exceed the 2030 reduction target for Canada\u2019s greenhouse gas emissions under the Paris Agreement.","abstract_fr":"Le pr\u00e9sent rapport \u00e9value les effets du plan du gouvernement pour d\u00e9passer, d\u2019ici 2030, la cible de r\u00e9duction des \u00e9missions de gaz \u00e0 effet de serre du Canada en vertu de l\u2019Accord de Paris.","highlights":null},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2122009S,\n author={Bagnoli, Philip and Scholz, Tim},\n title={Beyond Paris: Reducing Canada\u2019s GHG Emissions by 2030},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2021,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2122009S,\n author={Bagnoli, Philip and Scholz, Tim},\n title={Au-del\\`{a} de Paris : R\\\u0027{e}duire les \\\u0027{e}missions de gaz \\`{a} effet de serre du Canada d\u2019ici 2030},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n 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rendement","slug":"RP-2021-019-S--carbon-pricing-paris-target-closing-gap-with-output-based-pricing--tarification-carbone-accord-paris-combler-ecart-avec-tarification-fondee-rendement","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2021-019-S--carbon-pricing-paris-target-closing-gap-with-output-based-pricing--tarification-carbone-accord-paris-combler-ecart-avec-tarification-fondee-rendement","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2021-019-S--carbon-pricing-paris-target-closing-gap-with-output-based-pricing--tarification-carbone-accord-paris-combler-ecart-avec-tarification-fondee-rendement"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2021-019-S--carbon-pricing-paris-target-closing-gap-with-output-based-pricing--tarification-carbone-accord-paris-combler-ecart-avec-tarification-fondee-rendement","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2021-019-S--carbon-pricing-paris-target-closing-gap-with-output-based-pricing--tarification-carbone-accord-paris-combler-ecart-avec-tarification-fondee-rendement"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/ef757a9aa52112b1181f9d212d6ce95e739a0c46af2e2cc8d4552cfaef029b64"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/5d95cab5320e08befd1371aa6cb8a4245ffbdea32b66b9eaa8e7bf29537aa3eb"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3a7f4430959f613634a2f6d544e552b5fc4b1b49","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b35a184ad26c0116920a66fd370e7d981876fa53","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/29d5324ae773b485297f4fe3b8ef190b7a78ebef","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/add0708183ad085d0931b7ec6c673d0085187412","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/19683d56f3adbeced5dd171acfe6f1e497f983de","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/7876b4575f87d340bbe17ad446cd1d31fa88a4db","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/220edfe84ae6db481fe578e292f1664c6067f12f","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a53a8eaca13907c6117c6cbb4fe8f1bb4c50801a"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d2a52890fd5e6c19f705dc07a8d1ad82ecbf877f","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/19de710dcc67fbfa347f46b239caa9d278c058e9","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3b9befef3e9cc643b7f46b98bb5ce02bd3d32767","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8c696da4c202ce9e54b7ed2dd20e73cd45866581","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3400a1068ac1b7e0cd1f49b9553d29c7fe5dff69","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/9ac0c483ecac0c33caff300fa5de561214b236cd","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/011021235750992c2d4bc36721f29153e2aad337","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2e6ad370c071f8d8dd6e0e4f455259967132196c"}}},"metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report updates and extends PBO\u2019s analysis of the additional carbon pricing needed to achieve Canada\u2019s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions target in 2030 under the Paris Agreement.\n\nWe provide an updated estimate based on a broad carbon levy and extend our analysis to incorporate additional carbon pricing using an Output-Based Pricing System (OBPS), taking into consideration alternative structures. Estimates of the corresponding impacts on the Canadian economy are also provided.","abstract_fr":"Le pr\u00e9sent rapport actualise et \u00e9toffe l\u2019analyse du DPB sur les mesures de tarification suppl\u00e9mentaires n\u00e9cessaires pour atteindre l\u2019objectif de r\u00e9duction des gaz \u00e0 effet de serre (GES) fix\u00e9 pour 2030 dans l\u2019Accord de Paris.\n\nNous fournissons une estimation \u00e0 jour de la tarification du carbone n\u00e9cessaire pour atteindre cet objectif et nous \u00e9largissons la port\u00e9e de notre analyse pour y incorporer une tarification suppl\u00e9mentaire du carbone au moyen d\u2019un syst\u00e8me de tarification fond\u00e9 sur le rendement (STFR), en tenant compte de diff\u00e9rentes structures possibles. Une estimation des r\u00e9percussions sur l\u2019\u00e9conomie canadienne de chaque formule est \u00e9galement incluse dans ce rapport.","highlights":null},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2021019S,\n author={Bagnoli, Philip and Liberge-Simard, Rapha\\\u0022{e}l},\n title={Carbon pricing for the Paris target: Closing the gap with output-based pricing},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2020,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2021019S,\n author={Bagnoli, Philip and Liberge-Simard, Rapha\\\u0022{e}l},\n title={Tarification du carbone et Accord de Paris : combler l\u2019\\\u0027{e}cart avec la tarification fond\\\u0027{e}e sur le rendement},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2020,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-1920-024","is_published":"2021-08-06T19:03:06.000000Z","release_date":"2020-02-04T14:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2021-08-06T19:06:27.000000Z","type":"RP","internal_id":"RP-1920-024","title_en":"Reviewing the Fiscal and Distributional Analysis of the Federal Carbon Pricing System","title_fr":"Examen de l\u2019analyse financi\u00e8re et distributive du syst\u00e8me f\u00e9d\u00e9ral de tarification du carbone","slug":"RP-1920-024--reviewing-fiscal-distributional-analysis-federal-carbon-pricing-system--examen-analyse-financiere-distributive-systeme-federal-tarification-carbone","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-1920-024--reviewing-fiscal-distributional-analysis-federal-carbon-pricing-system--examen-analyse-financiere-distributive-systeme-federal-tarification-carbone","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-1920-024--reviewing-fiscal-distributional-analysis-federal-carbon-pricing-system--examen-analyse-financiere-distributive-systeme-federal-tarification-carbone"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-1920-024--reviewing-fiscal-distributional-analysis-federal-carbon-pricing-system--examen-analyse-financiere-distributive-systeme-federal-tarification-carbone","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-1920-024--reviewing-fiscal-distributional-analysis-federal-carbon-pricing-system--examen-analyse-financiere-distributive-systeme-federal-tarification-carbone"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/d3326e6a3869374060c6add6ae53cad5158274aa6e56b5234e9f5a7ced7c2eb9"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/5c984721df935aca69b8c71281f8e139f17f37a455dd58194e119c6a56faa861"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4db7e587f08a0b13fbe79f928acb5cdefaf08ed28fcf371f6fe86373be6a1591","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ee6c586012beb735ac7eed0c0d42a91b713baed31b007dabd679b8602b5511e1","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d86056ee8430f516de4c95417cec50c935fd4d9d4f47d1e6f58c5e5e9f196bf9","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/934252458f5b5d6b91ba704d9ab5f8e07a8094ea1e390da053285f3d89331f79","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/7fbb6e0131a4160604654f9f6dad90584ad4ffeb850a5c70acc1dfac1580ca59","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c135605eb40fb0a0f7454fa06a4c9f22fe4b28fb4b3df2c15d515e8549965f0f","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/48422533586a3afe7fce93b48dc4bcc5499013f273af569f7c1e5571153e1ebd","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/eb098e98edeb9b987d0591c41ef7e08d80ec058f59ed33710328a463966d9eb9"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/7eafccebcc45f04e772f80de885e4195cf0a48fb4dfc8b050a378168f5959f2b","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/07e11792b47c63cf784dc9cb6a4febdd6235e84bd97842e3b6cd3b934a373e28","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5e8ef3c1c2c53987d447a082a1a12c67d2646809414e595e88ebe4066885fda2","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/9b26004da42e8c349589443a0a8cb122bba591283b968b624e687b607cf002f0","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/66e13c826a1efa41e995879b952c98ee4fba12811b05b7cd1a5bc1f384d1e081","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c072b3c2d188467810a8aec46604e4f01a7cdf99c8eaa3fca9ece335850fa70e","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d0d62365264035d5b7ea79569a41f3f4ebb0e97309dfc5de38ac7b53046f5517","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/756e2508368126c8aaaa73112995529c49fcfdc18035f21315a864f4d2f7bb2e"}}},"metadata":{"abstract_en":"The federal carbon pollution pricing \u201cbackstop\u201d system is based on the Greenhouse Gas Pollution Pricing Act, adopted on June 21, 2018. It has two components: a charge on fossil fuels, and a regulatory system for large industry, known as the \u201coutput-based pricing system\u201d (OBPS).","abstract_fr":"Le syst\u00e8me f\u00e9d\u00e9ral de \u00ab filet de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 \u00bb pour la tarification de la pollution par le carbone se fonde sur la Loi sur la tarification de la pollution par les gaz \u00e0 effet de serre adopt\u00e9e le 21 juin 2018. Il comporte deux volets : une redevance sur les combustibles fossiles et un syst\u00e8me de r\u00e9glementation pour les grandes industries appel\u00e9 \u00ab syst\u00e8me de tarification fond\u00e9 sur le rendement \u00bb (STFR) .","highlights":null},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP1920024,\n author={Ammar, Nasreddine},\n title={Reviewing the Fiscal and Distributional Analysis of the Federal Carbon Pricing System},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2020,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP1920024,\n author={Ammar, Nasreddine},\n title={Examen de l\u2019analyse financi\\`{e}re et distributive du syst\\`{e}me f\\\u0027{e}d\\\u0027{e}ral de tarification du carbone},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2020,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-1920-016","is_published":"2021-08-05T19:56:11.000000Z","release_date":"2019-06-13T13:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2021-08-05T19:57:51.000000Z","type":"RP","internal_id":"RP-1920-016","title_en":"Closing the gap: carbon pricing for the Paris target (Revised June 20, 2019)","title_fr":"Combler l\u2019\u00e9cart : tarification du carbone pour atteindre la cible de l\u2019Accord de Paris (R\u00e9vis\u00e9 le 20 juin 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report provides a fiscal and distributional analysis of implementing a federal carbon pricing system in Ontario, New Brunswick, Manitoba and Saskatchewan. PBO estimates that the federal government will generate $2.63 billion in carbon pricing revenues in 2019-20. The vast majority of revenues ($2.43 billion) will be generated through the fuel charge; the balance, roughly $197 million, will be generated by output-based pricing.","abstract_fr":"Le pr\u00e9sent rapport fournit une analyse financi\u00e8re et distributive de la mise en \u0153uvre du syst\u00e8me f\u00e9d\u00e9ral de tarification du carbone en Ontario, au Nouveau Brunswick, au Manitoba et en Saskatchewan. Le DPB estime que le gouvernement f\u00e9d\u00e9ral tirera 2,63 milliards de dollars de recettes de la tarification du carbone en 2019 2020. La grande majorit\u00e9 de ces recettes (2,43 milliards) proviendra de la redevance sur les combustibles; le reste, soit environ 197 millions de dollars, sera g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9 par une tarification fond\u00e9e sur le rendement.","highlights":null},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP1920009,\n author={Ammar, Nasreddine},\n title={Fiscal and Distributional Analysis of the Federal carbon Pricing System},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2019,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP1920009,\n author={Ammar, Nasreddine},\n title={Analyse financi\\`{e}re et distributive du syst\\`{e}me f\\\u0027{e}d\\\u0027{e}ral de tarification du carbone (r\\\u0027{e}vis\\\u0027{e} le 23 mai 2019)},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2019,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-1819-377","is_published":"2021-09-21T15:05:05.000000Z","release_date":"2018-05-22T13:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2021-09-21T15:31:07.000000Z","type":"RP","internal_id":"RP-1819-377","title_en":"The Impact of a Pan-Canadian Carbon Pricing Levy on PBO\u2019s GDP Projection","title_fr":"Incidence sur le PIB d\u2019une redevance pancanadienne sur le carbone : Hypoth\u00e8se du DPB","slug":"RP-1819-377--impact-pan-canadian-carbon-pricing-levy-pbo-gdp-projection--incidence-pib-une-redevance-pancanadienne-carbone-hypothese-dpb","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-1819-377--impact-pan-canadian-carbon-pricing-levy-pbo-gdp-projection--incidence-pib-une-redevance-pancanadienne-carbone-hypothese-dpb","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-1819-377--impact-pan-canadian-carbon-pricing-levy-pbo-gdp-projection--incidence-pib-une-redevance-pancanadienne-carbone-hypothese-dpb"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-1819-377--impact-pan-canadian-carbon-pricing-levy-pbo-gdp-projection--incidence-pib-une-redevance-pancanadienne-carbone-hypothese-dpb","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-1819-377--impact-pan-canadian-carbon-pricing-levy-pbo-gdp-projection--incidence-pib-une-redevance-pancanadienne-carbone-hypothese-dpb"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/a7b97f14020d132be5cecebd69d12bfd64a7bca191212e94f7afc1e221ff8e73"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/561030fa6c8cec4cd606c9c07e3eed9226637d4c9b0f9a600cba367d08e41719"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ee37def4a2e151735c6e4fc85d116335b3c6efeaffcefb3b3915ce1514550f86","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ceed91e1738473bd3d5542bf0aecaa68e2a821dacbdc6c76c14fdee40f25f9d0","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/0a7efcfd9e4a446f88d1719f752d8482cf67c0b5d76c7f00fd589f9460d76680","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/48851795f23a41bcc75799e4c96be45e0aea27b44528d8e277b7d8dce3c40009","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e385c806415d3037f5dc476a1762c7bbdf8ad7643ec997051fc83212109d004b","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/42d9bee5460ad882ec6452896a820bd563855b51bf690f6a67fdc5528cf4f428","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4a2d3b3ee574506f98fb5d3b3b39d70bff94c4b552d8d61e79b35b7c63e1a11c","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/da481e44280617344d11ed5a63f917f7e6058c3b3b077e68025001e0cafd0f75"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/be6f837b389b625fd850fc9ca3278f77a0fb83e3ab54fe5c16855ac40aaa7191","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/0f73a40219fb2e321116ddbcbcef166d8c5336b453096da91b40850cad6fb5c2","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cf72a606ea8d168d39970e0e6baf9e4232ac122ceccc944578803e23733ee48c","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/25a127153c039610d573bf4b3dcf8a5cbcebe5e7712ddd9d6f300151de486d83","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/00397ef6450363ac813f27d87394c26e6e7537eab80a10e71f381811d3be3ab8","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/85e5e998b3e07e3946865fce1cf9d8b335a949d39b044a79dfc0f61c6de4a0a3","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/dfbf243d05183e72a6805c94f9b31007a1ff4b257ff04daa51722ddc404b07d3","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8a6f3fbe437d6e638c714d37a0fe46687315dbabab5f53cfa8735a495fda8670"}}},"metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides additional detail related to the economic impact of the carbon pricing levy presented in PBO\u2019s April 2018 Economic and Fiscal Outlook. In PBO\u2019s April 2018 Economic and Fiscal Outlook (EFO), we incorporated the economic impact of a carbon pricing levy, rising to $50 per tonne in 2022, that would apply over our medium-term projection horizon.","abstract_fr":"Le DPB a pr\u00e9par\u00e9 un estim\u00e9 de l\u2019incidence financi\u00e8re que pourrait avoir l\u2019inclusion de la couverture des soins de sant\u00e9 pay\u00e9e par l\u2019employeur dans le revenu imposable des employ\u00e9s. Les Perspectives \u00e9conomiques et financi\u00e8res (PEF) d\u2019avril 2018 du DPB tiennent compte de l\u2019incidence \u00e9conomique d\u2019une redevance sur le carbone augmentant \u00e0 50 $ la tonne en 2022, sur notre p\u00e9riode de projection \u00e0 moyen terme.","highlights":null},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP1819377,\n author={Bagnoli, Philip and Matier, Chris},\n title={The Impact of a Pan-Canadian Carbon Pricing Levy on PBO\u2019s GDP Projection},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2018,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP1819377,\n author={Bagnoli, Philip and Matier, Chris},\n title={Incidence sur le PIB d\u2019une redevance pancanadienne sur le carbone : Hypoth\\`{e}se du DPB},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2018,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}}